海军航空工程学院学报
海軍航空工程學院學報
해군항공공정학원학보
JOURNAL OF NAVAL AERONAUTICAL ENGINEERING INSTITUTE
2012年
1期
27-31
,共5页
李海军%刘霄%孙伟玮%李江
李海軍%劉霄%孫偉瑋%李江
리해군%류소%손위위%리강
偏最小二乘法%参数法%维修费用%反舰导弹
偏最小二乘法%參數法%維脩費用%反艦導彈
편최소이승법%삼수법%유수비용%반함도탄
partial least squares methods%parameters estimating methods%mamtenance cost%anti-ship missiles
参数估算法能够将影响维修费用的各种客观因素综合考虑,通过建立回归模型,对反舰导弹维修费用进行科学地直接估算。偏最小二乘回归方法在处理样本容量小、自变量多、变量间存在严重多重共线性问题等方面具有得天独厚的优势。文章综合分析了影响反舰导弹维修费用的各种因素,建立了基于偏最小二乘法的费用估算模型,设计了精度评定方法。通过实例计算验证,该方法建立的模型拟合度好,变量累计解释能力强,估算误差在5%内。
參數估算法能夠將影響維脩費用的各種客觀因素綜閤攷慮,通過建立迴歸模型,對反艦導彈維脩費用進行科學地直接估算。偏最小二乘迴歸方法在處理樣本容量小、自變量多、變量間存在嚴重多重共線性問題等方麵具有得天獨厚的優勢。文章綜閤分析瞭影響反艦導彈維脩費用的各種因素,建立瞭基于偏最小二乘法的費用估算模型,設計瞭精度評定方法。通過實例計算驗證,該方法建立的模型擬閤度好,變量纍計解釋能力彊,估算誤差在5%內。
삼수고산법능구장영향유수비용적각충객관인소종합고필,통과건립회귀모형,대반함도탄유수비용진행과학지직접고산。편최소이승회귀방법재처리양본용량소、자변량다、변량간존재엄중다중공선성문제등방면구유득천독후적우세。문장종합분석료영향반함도탄유수비용적각충인소,건립료기우편최소이승법적비용고산모형,설계료정도평정방법。통과실례계산험증,해방법건립적모형의합도호,변량루계해석능력강,고산오차재5%내。
Parameters estimating methods can make every objective factors be considered comprehensively that affect the maintenance cost, the maintenance cost of anti-ship missiles can be directly calculated scientifically by regression model. Partial least squares methods have incomparable advantages in aspects of small samples" handling, more independent variables and multi-share with linear characteristics of variables. Most kinds of factors that affected the maintenance cost of anti-ship missiles were comprehensively analyzed, and the model of partial least squares methods was built and the means of precision evaluating were designed. The case proved that the model build by these methods had high degree of fitting, strong ability of variables explaining, and the estimating error within 5%.