计算机仿真
計算機倣真
계산궤방진
COMPUTER SIMULATION
2009年
12期
9-11,20
,共4页
欧阳中辉%赵均伟%刘东鑫
歐暘中輝%趙均偉%劉東鑫
구양중휘%조균위%류동흠
逐步回归法%变量筛选%正交试验%火控回归模型
逐步迴歸法%變量篩選%正交試驗%火控迴歸模型
축보회귀법%변량사선%정교시험%화공회귀모형
Stepwise regress%Variable selection%Orthngonal test%Fire control regress calculation model
在建立火控射击诸元回归解算模型时,由于影响火控射击诸元的因素较多,并且各因素之间存在交互作用.需利用逐步回归法对回归模型中的变量进行筛选,首先确定影响射击诸元的因素指标集,并划分因素水平.利用正交试验进行航路设计,并将数据装定到火控系统中,获得静态解算数据.利用逐步回归法在403个变量中选择14个变量通过多元线性回归得到火控回归模型.对火控模型进行偏F检验,对残差进行独立性和正态性检验.结果表明,通过逐步回归法筛选得到的模型变量建立的回归方程,回归效果较好.
在建立火控射擊諸元迴歸解算模型時,由于影響火控射擊諸元的因素較多,併且各因素之間存在交互作用.需利用逐步迴歸法對迴歸模型中的變量進行篩選,首先確定影響射擊諸元的因素指標集,併劃分因素水平.利用正交試驗進行航路設計,併將數據裝定到火控繫統中,穫得靜態解算數據.利用逐步迴歸法在403箇變量中選擇14箇變量通過多元線性迴歸得到火控迴歸模型.對火控模型進行偏F檢驗,對殘差進行獨立性和正態性檢驗.結果錶明,通過逐步迴歸法篩選得到的模型變量建立的迴歸方程,迴歸效果較好.
재건립화공사격제원회귀해산모형시,유우영향화공사격제원적인소교다,병차각인소지간존재교호작용.수이용축보회귀법대회귀모형중적변량진행사선,수선학정영향사격제원적인소지표집,병화분인소수평.이용정교시험진행항로설계,병장수거장정도화공계통중,획득정태해산수거.이용축보회귀법재403개변량중선택14개변량통과다원선성회귀득도화공회귀모형.대화공모형진행편F검험,대잔차진행독립성화정태성검험.결과표명,통과축보회귀법사선득도적모형변량건립적회귀방정,회귀효과교호.
When building a fire control shoot element regress calculation model, because many factors may influ-ence fire control shoot elements, and each factor may interact on each other, the step by step regress is used to ana-lyse the selected variables in the regress model. Firstly defining the factor collection that influences the shoot ele-ments. Using the orthognnal test to carry out the design in route, then loading the data to the fire control system, and gaining static count data. Using the step by step regress to select 14 variables in 403 variables ,then getting a fire con-trol model by using the multianalysis linear regress. The fire control model has passed the partial F inspectation, and independence and normal form inspections are carried out for the residual error. The result indicates that the regress equation established by the step by step regress law has better regress effect.