CAJ | 학술논문

随着经济的发展和人民生活水平的提高,污染物的排放量也越来越大,节能减排已经成为中国最重要的环保政策。要想实现节能减排,关键是实现从末端治理到污染预防的转变。本设计从源头控制的角度出发,结合中国社会经济的发展情况,运用预警理论和多种数学分析工具,研究建立了基于中国两大约束性指标SO2和COD的污染减排预警系统。该系统旨在对中国各省份的污染减排状况趋势进行预测和评估预警,最终通过一组类似于交通信号灯的标志发布预警信号,从而更加直观地反映出全国各省市的减排形势,为决策者提供形象、直观的理论依据。
수착경제적발전화인민생활수평적제고,오염물적배방량야월래월대,절능감배이경성위중국최중요적배보정책。요상실현절능감배,관건시실현종말단치리도오염예방적전변。본설계종원두공제적각도출발,결합중국사회경제적발전정황,운용예경이론화다충수학분석공구,연구건립료기우중국량대약속성지표SO2화COD적오염감배예경계통。해계통지재대중국각성빈적오염감배상황추세진행예측화평고예경,최종통과일조유사우교통신호등적표지발포예경신호,종이경가직관지반영출전국각성시적감배형세,위결책자제공형상、직관적이론의거。
The quality of pollutant emission increased rapidly with the development of economy and people＇s living standards.The energy conservation and emission reduction have become one of the most important environmental protection policies in China.To achieve this purpose,the key factor is to realize the transformation from end treatment to pollution prevention.Based on source control perspective and combined with Chinese economic and social development situation,an early warning system with two major Chinese binding indexes SO2 and COD as targets were designed using early warning theory and a variety of mathematical analysis tools.The system is designed to predict and assess the trend of emission reduction.The warning signals are released through a set of traffic light signs which reflect the emission reduction situation in every province more directly and also provide a reliable theory basis for policy decision.