西安电子科技大学学报:社会科学版
西安電子科技大學學報:社會科學版
서안전자과기대학학보:사회과학판
Journal of Xidian University (Social Sciences Edition)
2011年
5期
57-60
,共4页
信息化水平%经济增长%协整分析%误差修正模型
信息化水平%經濟增長%協整分析%誤差脩正模型
신식화수평%경제증장%협정분석%오차수정모형
Infomationization level%Economic growth%Co-integration analysis%Error correction model
本文运用协整分析方法和误差修正模型,并结合Granger因果检验对1952—2008年我国信息化水平与经济增长的关系进行了探讨。研究表明:我国信息化水平与经济增长之间存在长期稳定的均衡关系,信息化水平对经济增长有积极的促进作用,但短期内这种作用不够明显;信息化水平与经济增长存在显著的双向因果关系。
本文運用協整分析方法和誤差脩正模型,併結閤Granger因果檢驗對1952—2008年我國信息化水平與經濟增長的關繫進行瞭探討。研究錶明:我國信息化水平與經濟增長之間存在長期穩定的均衡關繫,信息化水平對經濟增長有積極的促進作用,但短期內這種作用不夠明顯;信息化水平與經濟增長存在顯著的雙嚮因果關繫。
본문운용협정분석방법화오차수정모형,병결합Granger인과검험대1952—2008년아국신식화수평여경제증장적관계진행료탐토。연구표명:아국신식화수평여경제증장지간존재장기은정적균형관계,신식화수평대경제증장유적겁적촉진작용,단단기내저충작용불구명현;신식화수평여경제증장존재현저적쌍향인과관계。
The paper tries to investigate the relationship between the infomationization level and the economic growth in China during the years between 1952 and 2008, which is based on and guided by the co-integration analysis and error correction model as well as Granger causality test. The results show that: there is a long-term stable equilibrium relationship existing between the two objects studied, and the former one takes a positive role to advance the latter one. However, this promotion seems to be not so significant in the short term; besides, the two-way causality could also be found between the two.