CAJ | 학술논문

使用2000--2009年micaps资料，通过天气学原理结合统计学分类的方法，对桂东片持续性暴雨天气个例进行分型。运用概念模型分析法，建立分类型概念模型。利用“配料法”的思路，对概念模型及其物理量特征进行配料，选取环境场、水汽、抬升和不稳定为主要配料，通过对暴雨配料指标的组合判断，得出有、无暴雨的预报，依此建立桂东片各类型持续性暴雨的短期预报模式。
사용2000--2009년micaps자료，통과천기학원리결합통계학분류적방법，대계동편지속성폭우천기개례진행분형。운용개념모형분석법，건립분류형개념모형。이용“배료법”적사로，대개념모형급기물리량특정진행배료，선취배경장、수기、태승화불은정위주요배료，통과대폭우배료지표적조합판단，득출유、무폭우적예보，의차건립계동편각류형지속성폭우적단기예보모식。
Using micaps informations from 2000 to 2009, with synoptic statistical classification and ingredients-based methodology, selecting the elements of water vapor, instability energy, up other environmental meteorological factors as the main ingredients, various types of conceptual for forecasting continuous rainstorm in eastern Guangxi were established. thod and models