系统工程理论与实践
繫統工程理論與實踐
계통공정이론여실천
SYSTEMS ENGINEERING--THEORY & PRACTICE
2010年
1期
151-156
,共6页
王绵斌%谭忠富%关勇%乞建勋%卢大伟
王綿斌%譚忠富%關勇%乞建勛%盧大偉
왕면빈%담충부%관용%걸건훈%로대위
自备电厂%备用容量费用%供电公司%风险评估%熵值法
自備電廠%備用容量費用%供電公司%風險評估%熵值法
자비전엄%비용용량비용%공전공사%풍험평고%적치법
auxiliary power plant%charge for reserve capacity%power-supply company%risk evaluation%entropy theory
自备电厂并网备用容量费的计算是我国电力市场化改革所面临的急待解决的问题之一.从概率统计学的角度,分析所有与供电公司并网的自备电厂所需要备用容量的各种情况以及其对应的概率分布,并求其期望值作为计算备用容量的依据;在此基础上,采用熵值法对供电公司和自备电厂收取并网备用容量费的收益风险进行度量,并对它们的收益风险进行比较;从平衡供电公司与自备电厂收益风险角度,构建它们的收益风险平衡模型,并采用间接搜索法对其进行求解.算例表明:所构建并网备用容量费计算模型是可行的,可以减少电网和电厂的投资,提高电能的利用效率,且对平衡供电公司与自备电厂之间的利益具有一定的参考作用.
自備電廠併網備用容量費的計算是我國電力市場化改革所麵臨的急待解決的問題之一.從概率統計學的角度,分析所有與供電公司併網的自備電廠所需要備用容量的各種情況以及其對應的概率分佈,併求其期望值作為計算備用容量的依據;在此基礎上,採用熵值法對供電公司和自備電廠收取併網備用容量費的收益風險進行度量,併對它們的收益風險進行比較;從平衡供電公司與自備電廠收益風險角度,構建它們的收益風險平衡模型,併採用間接搜索法對其進行求解.算例錶明:所構建併網備用容量費計算模型是可行的,可以減少電網和電廠的投資,提高電能的利用效率,且對平衡供電公司與自備電廠之間的利益具有一定的參攷作用.
자비전엄병망비용용량비적계산시아국전력시장화개혁소면림적급대해결적문제지일.종개솔통계학적각도,분석소유여공전공사병망적자비전엄소수요비용용량적각충정황이급기대응적개솔분포,병구기기망치작위계산비용용량적의거;재차기출상,채용적치법대공전공사화자비전엄수취병망비용용량비적수익풍험진행도량,병대타문적수익풍험진행비교;종평형공전공사여자비전엄수익풍험각도,구건타문적수익풍험평형모형,병채용간접수색법대기진행구해.산례표명:소구건병망비용용량비계산모형시가행적,가이감소전망화전엄적투자,제고전능적이용효솔,차대평형공전공사여자비전엄지간적이익구유일정적삼고작용.
One of urgent solved problems confronted with electricity market reformation in china was the calculation of the on-grid reserve capacity charge for the auxiliary power plants.The paper analyzed the all conditions of the necessary reserve capacity for all auxiliary power plants connected with powersupply company and their corresponding probability distribution.And their expection Was as the warrant of calculating reserve capacity.On this basis,the benefit-risk of power-supplying company and auxiliary power plants resulted from collecting the reserve capacity charges of auxiliary power plants were evaluated with entropy theory and were compared each other.The balanced model of the benenfit-risk Was constructed from balancing power-supplying company and auxiliary power plants,and was solved by indirect search theory.The example shows the presented calculation model of reserve capacity charges is feasible,and it can reduce the investment of power grid and generations,improve the electric efficiency.Further more there is some.reference for balancing the benefit between power-supplying company and auxiliary power plants.