气候变化研究进展
氣候變化研究進展
기후변화연구진전
ADVANCES IN CLIMATE CHANGE RESEARCH
2009年
6期
357-361
,共5页
中国东北三省%冬季气温%气候变化%研究进展
中國東北三省%鼕季氣溫%氣候變化%研究進展
중국동북삼성%동계기온%기후변화%연구진전
three provinces in Northeast China%winter air temperature%climate change%research advances
通过简要回顾中国学者有关东北三省冬季气温变化的研究成果,概括分析了近百年或近几十年时间尺度平均气温及最高、最低气温年际、年代际变化的基本特征,综述了与冬季气温年际、年代际变化相关的各类海-气环流因子.近百年来,东北冬季气温上升,1987年前后发生增暖突变;北极涛动、西伯利亚高压、东亚冬季风等是影响东北冬季气温年际变化的主要因子;北极涛动、东亚冬季风、东亚中高纬环流型等的持续性是冬季气温年代际变化的主要因子.对多种变化特征集中出现的20世纪70年代末的气候变化值得深入探讨,也有必要在整个东北三省的范围内,深入开展冬季气温预测方法的系统研究.另外,测站气温序列的非均一性问题也应引起足够重视.
通過簡要迴顧中國學者有關東北三省鼕季氣溫變化的研究成果,概括分析瞭近百年或近幾十年時間呎度平均氣溫及最高、最低氣溫年際、年代際變化的基本特徵,綜述瞭與鼕季氣溫年際、年代際變化相關的各類海-氣環流因子.近百年來,東北鼕季氣溫上升,1987年前後髮生增暖突變;北極濤動、西伯利亞高壓、東亞鼕季風等是影響東北鼕季氣溫年際變化的主要因子;北極濤動、東亞鼕季風、東亞中高緯環流型等的持續性是鼕季氣溫年代際變化的主要因子.對多種變化特徵集中齣現的20世紀70年代末的氣候變化值得深入探討,也有必要在整箇東北三省的範圍內,深入開展鼕季氣溫預測方法的繫統研究.另外,測站氣溫序列的非均一性問題也應引起足夠重視.
통과간요회고중국학자유관동북삼성동계기온변화적연구성과,개괄분석료근백년혹근궤십년시간척도평균기온급최고、최저기온년제、년대제변화적기본특정,종술료여동계기온년제、년대제변화상관적각류해-기배류인자.근백년래,동북동계기온상승,1987년전후발생증난돌변;북겁도동、서백리아고압、동아동계풍등시영향동북동계기온년제변화적주요인자;북겁도동、동아동계풍、동아중고위배류형등적지속성시동계기온년대제변화적주요인자.대다충변화특정집중출현적20세기70년대말적기후변화치득심입탐토,야유필요재정개동북삼성적범위내,심입개전동계기온예측방법적계통연구.령외,측참기온서렬적비균일성문제야응인기족구중시.
This paper summarizes the research progress of winter air temperature variations of three provinces(i.e.Liaoning,Jilin,Heilongiiang)in Northeast China.The basic characteristics of interannual and interdecadal variations of average,maximum and minimum air temperatures in the last 100 years or recent several dacades are briefly reviewed.This overview deals with various atmosphere-ocean general circulation factors closely associated with interdecadal and interannual climate variations of winter air temperature of three provinces in Northeast China.Winter air temperature has risen in Northeast China in recent 100 years,and an abrupt warming occurred in about 1987.Arctic Oscillation,Siberian high,and East Asian winter monsoon are the major factors affecting the interannual variations of winter temperature in Northeast China;the persistentce of Arctic Oscillation,East Asian winter monsoon,and circulation pattern over the mid-high latitudes of East Asia are the major factors affecting the interdecadal variations of winter temperature.The climate change possessing multiple characteristics in the late 1970s is worth further discussing.It is necessary to deeply study the short-term climatic prediction methods of winter temperature in the three provinces of Northeast China.Besides,we should pay more attention to the in-homogeneity problems of observed temperature series in Northeast China.