CAJ | 학술논문

进入2l世纪后，世界旅游在保持总体持续增长与发展态势下，也不断遭受国际突发重大事件冲击及各种自然灾害等因素的交织叠加影响。本文通过对近10年世界旅游发展的实证分析．揭示了世界旅游发展呈现出低速增长、短期波动和敏感性增强等新特征，并预测在未来世界旅游发展中，这些新特征不仅将继续伴随全球国际入境旅游发展，也将对世界旅游经济发展产生持续的作用和影响。
진입2l세기후，세계여유재보지총체지속증장여발전태세하，야불단조수국제돌발중대사건충격급각충자연재해등인소적교직첩가영향。본문통과대근10년세계여유발전적실증분석．게시료세계여유발전정현출저속증장、단기파동화민감성증강등신특정，병예측재미래세계여유발전중，저사신특정불부장계속반수전구국제입경여유발전，야장대세계여유경제발전산생지속적작용화영향。
Through empirical analysis of global tourism development in recent 10 years, this paper reveals the new features of the global tourism development, which present low growth, short-term fluctuations and enhanced sensitivity. It forecasts that these features will not only develop with international inbound tourism, but also will produce sustained effects and influence on the development of global tourism economy.