CAJ | 학술논문

[目的]研究河北省冬麦北移决策支持系统（Decision Support System for“Northing of Winter Wheat”in Hebei，DSSNWWH），为提高农业系统决策的科学性和信息化程度提供方法。[方法]介绍了河北省冬麦北移决策支持系统的功能、开发流程、运行向导以及输入输出方式，并对该系统的相关预测结果进行了实际验证。[结果]该研究建立的决策支持系统可以在以往气象数据或当地气象预报的基础上，对某一冬小麦品种在河北省北部某一地区能否安全越冬及其生长发育状况进行预测，并给出相应的栽培管理措施，用户可根据预测结果来判断该品种在这一地区能否种植。[结论]该研究建立的DSSNWWH可有效地辅助决策者进行决策，为冬小麦的北移提供科学的指导。
[목적]연구하북성동맥북이결책지지계통（Decision Support System for“Northing of Winter Wheat”in Hebei，DSSNWWH），위제고농업계통결책적과학성화신식화정도제공방법。[방법]개소료하북성동맥북이결책지지계통적공능、개발류정、운행향도이급수입수출방식，병대해계통적상관예측결과진행료실제험증。[결과]해연구건립적결책지지계통가이재이왕기상수거혹당지기상예보적기출상，대모일동소맥품충재하북성북부모일지구능부안전월동급기생장발육상황진행예측，병급출상응적재배관리조시，용호가근거예측결과래판단해품충재저일지구능부충식。[결론]해연구건립적DSSNWWH가유효지보조결책자진행결책，위동소맥적북이제공과학적지도。
[Objective] This study was to provide methods to improve the scientificity and informatization level of agricultural decision-making system based on the study of Decision Support System for ＂Northing of Winter Wheat＂ in Hebei Province （DSS- NWWH）. [Method] The functions, development process, operation guidance as well as input and output modes of DSSNWWH were introduced, and the simulated results of the system were verified by comparing with the actual situations. [Result] The decision support system established in this study could predict whether a wheat variety could live through the winter in a certain area of northern Hebei Province, as well as the growth conditions based on the previous meteorological data or local weather forecast, and provided corresponding cultivation and management measures, making it possible for the user to determine whether the variety could be planted in the region based on the predictions. [Conclusion] The established DSSNWWH in this study can effectively help decision makers make decisions, providing scientific instructions for the northing of winter wheat.