CAJ | 학술논문

对胶州湾湾口两侧——团岛和薛家岛1个月的潮位观测资料进行调和分析，得出湾口两侧M2，S2，O1，K1分潮的调和常数，进而建立了胶州湾内的预报潮流场。考虑风场对海面溢油的影响，给出了预测胶州湾溢油飘移轨迹的数值模型，对1983年11月25日“东方大使”号油轮在中砂礁触礁后的溢油的油膜漂移轨迹进行了数值模拟，结果与事故后观测到的结果相符，说明了数值模拟的正确性。
대효주만만구량측——단도화설가도1개월적조위관측자료진행조화분석，득출만구량측M2，S2，O1，K1분조적조화상수，진이건립료효주만내적예보조류장。고필풍장대해면일유적영향，급출료예측효주만일유표이궤적적수치모형，대1983년11월25일“동방대사”호유륜재중사초촉초후적일유적유막표이궤적진행료수치모의，결과여사고후관측도적결과상부，설명료수치모의적정학성。
Based on 1 month of tidal data observed at the Tuandao andXuejiadao, we obtained the harmonic constants of the M2,S2,O1 and K1 components by using a harmonic analysis method and developed a model for predicting the tidal currents in the Jiaozhou Bay. The numerical model of predicting oil spill trajectory in the Jiaozhou Bay is given, and the effect of the sea surface wind on the oil spill is taken into account. As a case study, a hindcast was conducted to simulate the accident of oil taker "Eastern Ambassador" at the Zhongsha Reef in the Bay on November 25, 1983. The simulated results agree well with the observed results.