CAJ | 학술논문

电力系统短期负荷预测精度的高低直接影响到电网运行的安全性、经济性以及电能质量,特别是随着我国电力市场的建立和不断完善,短期负荷预测在电力系统调度运营部门中的作用越来越重要。本文首先对影响电力系统负荷预测精度的因素进行了深入的分析,然后提出了提高负荷预测精度的几项措施,并对未来需要进行的工作进行了展望。
전력계통단기부하예측정도적고저직접영향도전망운행적안전성、경제성이급전능질량,특별시수착아국전력시장적건립화불단완선,단기부하예측재전력계통조도운영부문중적작용월래월중요。본문수선대영향전력계통부하예측정도적인소진행료심입적분석,연후제출료제고부하예측정도적궤항조시,병대미래수요진행적공작진행료전망。
The short-term load forecasting accuracy directly affects the operation of the safety,economy and power quality.Especially along with the power market＇s developing and perfecting in China,the function of the short-term load forecasting is becoming more and more important for the scheduling operation department of power system.This paper first analyzes and summarizes the accurate factors of forecasting,and then puts forward some measures about improving load forecasting accuracy and development direction in the future.