云南地理环境研究
雲南地理環境研究
운남지리배경연구
YUNNAN GEOGRAPHIC ENVIRONMENT RESEARCH
2011年
5期
102-104,110
,共4页
气象自动站%森林火险%监测预报%黔南州
氣象自動站%森林火險%鑑測預報%黔南州
기상자동참%삼림화험%감측예보%검남주
automatic weather station%forest fire%monitoring%Qiannan
对大量国家级和区域级气象自动站资料的获取和订正,通过对降水、气温、湿度和风速等气象因子对森林火险贡献度数学模型的计算,充分应用在黔南森林火险气象等级的实时监测和预报中。通过多点、多时段的预报值、实时监测值与实况对比检验统计,得出应用系统的实时监测准确率和预报准确率。
對大量國傢級和區域級氣象自動站資料的穫取和訂正,通過對降水、氣溫、濕度和風速等氣象因子對森林火險貢獻度數學模型的計算,充分應用在黔南森林火險氣象等級的實時鑑測和預報中。通過多點、多時段的預報值、實時鑑測值與實況對比檢驗統計,得齣應用繫統的實時鑑測準確率和預報準確率。
대대량국가급화구역급기상자동참자료적획취화정정,통과대강수、기온、습도화풍속등기상인자대삼림화험공헌도수학모형적계산,충분응용재검남삼림화험기상등급적실시감측화예보중。통과다점、다시단적예보치、실시감측치여실황대비검험통계,득출응용계통적실시감측준학솔화예보준학솔。
Research on the large number of national and regional automatic weather station data to acquisited and corrected.Based on precipitation,temperature,humidity and wind speed and other meteorological factors on forest fire risk contribution mathematical statistical model.The full application in Qiannan forest fire risk monitoring and forecasting.Through multi-point and time prediction,real-time monitoring and real contrast test and statistic,Obtains the application system for the real time monitoring of accuracy and prediction accuracy.