福建稻麦科技
福建稻麥科技
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FUJIAN SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY OF RICE AND WHEAT
2011年
4期
32-35
,共4页
邓云%江文清%周仕全%邱慧明%饶溶辉%黄继平%张洁薇
鄧雲%江文清%週仕全%邱慧明%饒溶輝%黃繼平%張潔薇
산운%강문청%주사전%구혜명%요용휘%황계평%장길미
小麦赤霉病%气候动态预测模式
小麥赤黴病%氣候動態預測模式
소맥적매병%기후동태예측모식
wheat scab%different phases meteorologica forecast model
以2003--2011年南平地区小麦3个对照品种的赤霉病发生程度为研究对象，对小麦赤霉病的病情指数、发病率进行调查，并与开花期温度、降雨量的进行相关性分析，然后在逐步回归分析的基础上建立小麦赤霉病对照品种发生程度的动态预测模式，拟合率为92．6％。
以2003--2011年南平地區小麥3箇對照品種的赤黴病髮生程度為研究對象，對小麥赤黴病的病情指數、髮病率進行調查，併與開花期溫度、降雨量的進行相關性分析，然後在逐步迴歸分析的基礎上建立小麥赤黴病對照品種髮生程度的動態預測模式，擬閤率為92．6％。
이2003--2011년남평지구소맥3개대조품충적적매병발생정도위연구대상，대소맥적매병적병정지수、발병솔진행조사，병여개화기온도、강우량적진행상관성분석，연후재축보회귀분석적기출상건립소맥적매병대조품충발생정도적동태예측모식，의합솔위92．6％。
The degree of damage of wheat scab for three check wheat varieties was investigated based on disease index and the incidence in 2003-2011 at Nanping city, china, and the investigation data were made a correlation analysis with the temperature and rainfall within flowering period of wheat. Then a different phases forecast mode of damage degree of wheat scab for 3 check varieties was established with stepwise regression, which was found to have a good fitness of 92.6%.
