CAJ | 학술논문

对土地人口承载力理论的国内外研究现状进行了综述；结合前人的研究成果，选取相应指标，在协整分析的基础上，运用多元线性回归方法对河南省粮田人口承载力的影响因素进行了实证分析。结果显示：人口因素、农业劳动力生产技术水平因素和土地因素与粮田人口承载力正相关，其中人口因素的影响最大；粮食需求因素与粮田人口承载力负相关。最后提出提高河南省粮田人口承载力的政策建议。
대토지인구승재력이론적국내외연구현상진행료종술；결합전인적연구성과，선취상응지표，재협정분석적기출상，운용다원선성회귀방법대하남성량전인구승재력적영향인소진행료실증분석。결과현시：인구인소、농업노동력생산기술수평인소화토지인소여량전인구승재력정상관，기중인구인소적영향최대；양식수구인소여량전인구승재력부상관。최후제출제고하남성량전인구승재력적정책건의。
This paper firstly reviews the domestic and foreign research on the theory of land supporting capacity. Then combining the existing related research, it empirically analyzes the effect degree and direction of main influencing factors of population supporting capacity of grain field in Henan province by using the muhi-dimensional linear regression method on the basis of the cointegration analysis. The result shows as follows： the factors of population, production technical level of agricultural labor and land affect the population supporting capacity of grain field positively, and the influence of population factor is the biggest ; there is a negative correlation between the factor of grain demand and the population supporting capacity of grain field. Finally, it proposes some policy suggestions in order to enhance the population supporting capacity of grain field in Henan province.