地壳形变与地震
地殼形變與地震
지각형변여지진
CRUSTAL DEFORMATION AND EARTHQUAKE
2001年
2期
43-50
,共8页
发震时间%指数分布%Gamma分布%Weiull分布%地震序列特征
髮震時間%指數分佈%Gamma分佈%Weiull分佈%地震序列特徵
발진시간%지수분포%Gamma분포%Weiull분포%지진서렬특정
从理论上讨论了地震发生时间研究中常见的指数分布、Gamma分布和Weibull分布模型之间的相互关系及其所反映的地震序列的特征。同时,对工程地震和地震预报中常见的危险函数所反映的地震特征作了分析。指出了指数分布、Gamma分布所反映的地震序列的内涵及统计时应注意的问题。利用华北地区历史地震资料(M>4.7)进行了分时段齐次统计的示范实例化分析,结果表明:对地震序列分时段齐次化统计能表述地震发生的不均匀现象,且处理简便。
從理論上討論瞭地震髮生時間研究中常見的指數分佈、Gamma分佈和Weibull分佈模型之間的相互關繫及其所反映的地震序列的特徵。同時,對工程地震和地震預報中常見的危險函數所反映的地震特徵作瞭分析。指齣瞭指數分佈、Gamma分佈所反映的地震序列的內涵及統計時應註意的問題。利用華北地區歷史地震資料(M>4.7)進行瞭分時段齊次統計的示範實例化分析,結果錶明:對地震序列分時段齊次化統計能錶述地震髮生的不均勻現象,且處理簡便。
종이론상토론료지진발생시간연구중상견적지수분포、Gamma분포화Weibull분포모형지간적상호관계급기소반영적지진서렬적특정。동시,대공정지진화지진예보중상견적위험함수소반영적지진특정작료분석。지출료지수분포、Gamma분포소반영적지진서렬적내함급통계시응주의적문제。이용화북지구역사지진자료(M>4.7)진행료분시단제차통계적시범실례화분석,결과표명:대지진서렬분시단제차화통계능표술지진발생적불균균현상,차처리간편。
In interarrival time analysis for earthquake occurrence, the exponent, Gamma and Weibull distribution are usually used. In this paper, the mathematical relations of these distributions and some features in earthquake sequence are studied. Risk function, which is usually used in engineering seismic hazard analysis and earthquake prediction, and its meaning are analyzed. We also indicate what problems concerning distributions in seismic statistics researchers should pay attention to. At last, the demonstrational calculation of the North China seismic data shows that the hypothesis of segmented time homogeneity might be better than the hypothsis total time homogeneity in seismic statistics.