系统工程理论与实践
繫統工程理論與實踐
계통공정이론여실천
SYSTEMS ENGINEERING--THEORY & PRACTICE
2010年
4期
587-593
,共7页
创新网络%高技术企业%系统动力学%标准化%知识转移
創新網絡%高技術企業%繫統動力學%標準化%知識轉移
창신망락%고기술기업%계통동역학%표준화%지식전이
innovation networks%high-tech enterprises%system dynamics%standardization%knowledge transfer
在深入分析高技术企业技术创新网络系统的构成要素及各要素相互关系的基础上,建立了能够刻画高技术企业技术创新网络发展变化的因果关系图与系统动力学模型.并用系统动力学建模工具软件Vensim实现了该模型.同时采用国家高技术产业统计年鉴公布的数据,对模型的有效性进行了验证,实验结果表明模型计算出来的数据与实际数据非常吻合.表明系统动力学方法能够有效模拟协作研发、标准化以及知识转移对高技术企业技术创新网络的发展影响.作为模型的应用,对今后几年高技术企业技术创新网络系统的关键指标进行了预测,并提出了为提高关键指标应采取的措施,为管理决策提供了参考依据.
在深入分析高技術企業技術創新網絡繫統的構成要素及各要素相互關繫的基礎上,建立瞭能夠刻畫高技術企業技術創新網絡髮展變化的因果關繫圖與繫統動力學模型.併用繫統動力學建模工具軟件Vensim實現瞭該模型.同時採用國傢高技術產業統計年鑒公佈的數據,對模型的有效性進行瞭驗證,實驗結果錶明模型計算齣來的數據與實際數據非常吻閤.錶明繫統動力學方法能夠有效模擬協作研髮、標準化以及知識轉移對高技術企業技術創新網絡的髮展影響.作為模型的應用,對今後幾年高技術企業技術創新網絡繫統的關鍵指標進行瞭預測,併提齣瞭為提高關鍵指標應採取的措施,為管理決策提供瞭參攷依據.
재심입분석고기술기업기술창신망락계통적구성요소급각요소상호관계적기출상,건립료능구각화고기술기업기술창신망락발전변화적인과관계도여계통동역학모형.병용계통동역학건모공구연건Vensim실현료해모형.동시채용국가고기술산업통계년감공포적수거,대모형적유효성진행료험증,실험결과표명모형계산출래적수거여실제수거비상문합.표명계통동역학방법능구유효모의협작연발、표준화이급지식전이대고기술기업기술창신망락적발전영향.작위모형적응용,대금후궤년고기술기업기술창신망락계통적관건지표진행료예측,병제출료위제고관건지표응채취적조시,위관리결책제공료삼고의거.
Based on the analysis of the components in high-tech enterprises innovation networks and the relations among them, a causal graph and a system dynamical model, which could describe the development of high-tech enterprises innovation networks, were built. The system dynamical model was realized by software tool Vensim. The validation of the model was taken by using the data from China statistical yearbooks on high-tech industry. The calculated results are in accordance with the actual data. The simulation results show that method of the model is valid for simulating the affection of R&D cooperation, standardization, and knowledge transfer to high-tech enterprises innovation networks. As an application of this model, key indexes of high-tech enterprises innovation networks in the next few years are predicted. Some measures are suggested to increase these indexes. The presented model is feasible as computer aided decision support tool for managers.