CAJ | 학술논문

提出了一种在知识不完备的情况下，计及前提重要性的基于模糊逻辑的近似推理和决策新方法，并将其用于城市配电网规划空间电力负荷预测的小区用地适应性和优劣性分析中。建立了基于模糊集理论的规划年城市土地开发和土地改造预测的基本原理，该原理能够充分体现专家的推理和决策过程，为城市配电网规划人员完成规划年城市土地高分解条件下小区土地开发时间、使用性质和最佳使用强度的分析任务提供了一套系统的理论和方法。
제출료일충재지식불완비적정황하，계급전제중요성적기우모호라집적근사추리화결책신방법，병장기용우성시배전망규화공간전력부하예측적소구용지괄응성화우렬성분석중。건립료기우모호집이론적규화년성시토지개발화토지개조예측적기본원리，해원리능구충분체현전가적추리화결책과정，위성시배전망규화인원완성규화년성시토지고분해조건하소구토지개발시간、사용성질화최가사용강도적분석임무제공료일투계통적이론화방법。
A novel fuzzy-logic-based approximate reasoning method which canconsider weights in the premise in rules and a defuzzification decision-making function is presented and used in the small areas land-use suitability assessment and superiority-inferiority assessment based on spatial load forecasting of urban distribution system planning. A primary principle about how to forecast the urban land development and urban land reform in the future is founded. The process-reasoning and decision-making of expertise is embodied in the principle. A systematic theory and approach are provided for distribution system researchers to accomplish the decision task of land-use time，land-use classification and land-use intensity of small areas in case of frequently decomposing urban land. This project is supported by National Natural Science Foundation of China (No.59877017).