CAJ | 학술논문

目的调查河南省本科护生近5年培养规模及用人单位需求状况,为科学预测未来5年河南省本科护理人才供求趋势提供参考.方法自设问卷对河南6所护理本科院校,27家三级医院、51家二级医院进行横断面调查.结合文献查阅法、趋势外推法,预测2011年至2015年河南省内对护理本科人才的需求总量.结果河南省三级医院对本科护生需求量大于二级医院；未来5年河南省本科护生以占护士总数的30％～50％为宜；并提出本科护士需求量预测方程.结论护理本科教育规模应根据需求预测值适度均衡发展；以三级医院为重点,兼顾社区,逐步加强本科护生综合素质培养；预测方程需不断修订完善.
목적 조사하남성본과호생근5년배양규모급용인단위수구상황,위과학예측미래5년하남성본과호리인재공구추세제공삼고.방법 자설문권대하남6소호리본과원교,27가삼급의원、51가이급의원진행횡단면조사.결합문헌사열법、추세외추법,예측2011년지2015년하남성내대호리본과인재적수구총량.결과 하남성삼급의원대본과호생수구량대우이급의원；미래5년하남성본과호생이점호사총수적30％～50％위의；병제출본과호사수구량예측방정.결론 호리본과교육규모응근거수구예측치괄도균형발전；이삼급의원위중점,겸고사구,축보가강본과호생종합소질배양；예측방정수불단수정완선.
Objective To investigate the training scale and social demand of nursing undergraduates in recent five years in Henan province,and supply reference for trend of talent supply and demand in future five years in Henan province.Methods A cross-sectional questionnaire survey were taken,6 nursing colleges,78 hospitals took part in the survey.Literature searching and trend extrapolation method were used to predict the demand of nursing talents in Henan province from 2011 to 2015.Results Tertiary hospitals demand more nurses with bachelor degree than secondary hospitals; the appropriate proportion of nurses with bachelor degree in all nurses was 30％～50％; besides,a predictive model equation was proposed.Conclusions The scale of undergraduate nursing should develop in appropriate ratio based on the predictive values; we should strengthen undergraduate nursing education for all-around development to adapt tertiary hospitals and community nursing trend,and the predictive model equation needs continuous emendation.