CAJ | 학술논문

通过对2007年1月至2011年8月我国汽车产销量的时间序列ADF检验，建构OLS法回归模型分析，发现2009年1月以来我国出台的一系列汽车产业发展政策对我国汽车产业的产销量产生了较大影响，其对产销量的增长有着明显的促进作用；同时，用行业集中度（CRn）分析汽车行业的集中情况，说明产业政策对提高我国汽车行业的集中度也产生了明显的政策效应。并结合结论和当前经济形势，提出未来我国汽车产业政策的相关建议。
통과대2007년1월지2011년8월아국기차산소량적시간서렬ADF검험，건구OLS법회귀모형분석，발현2009년1월이래아국출태적일계렬기차산업발전정책대아국기차산업적산소양산생료교대영향，기대산소량적증장유착명현적촉진작용；동시，용행업집중도（CRn）분석기차행업적집중정황，설명산업정책대제고아국기차행업적집중도야산생료명현적정책효응。병결합결론화당전경제형세，제출미래아국기차산업정책적상관건의。
Based on the ADF test of time series data of Chinese automobile productions and sales from tanuary 2007 to August 2011, we find that Chinese automobile industrial policies since the January 2009 have a great impact on the productions and sales, particularly stimulating the increase of its productions and sales with the OLS regression method. What＇s more, we demonstrate that the industry policies have a great effect on the increaseing in the concentration of Chinese automobile industry by constructing the concentration index （CRn）. Finally, according to our findings and the present economic conditions, we put forward some suggestions for the policy of the Chinese automobile industry in the future.