CAJ | 학술논문

生产性服务业与制造业发展存在互动关系,这种互动关系的研究主要基于交易成本理论及分工深化理论,而传统的实证分析方法在数据分离方面存在一定缺陷。本文在理论假设的基础上,基于安徽省1952-2007年相关统计数据,通过建立误差修正模型、Granger因果分析模型、广义脉冲响应函数对生产性服务业与制造业发展之间的互动关系进行实证分析,这种分析方法从某种程度上解决了数据分离问题,且得出了生产性服务产品的无形特点更有利于产业结构的优化及可持续发展的结论。
생산성복무업여제조업발전존재호동관계,저충호동관계적연구주요기우교역성본이론급분공심화이론,이전통적실증분석방법재수거분리방면존재일정결함。본문재이론가설적기출상,기우안휘성1952-2007년상관통계수거,통과건립오차수정모형、Granger인과분석모형、엄의맥충향응함수대생산성복무업여제조업발전지간적호동관계진행실증분석,저충분석방법종모충정도상해결료수거분리문제,차득출료생산성복무산품적무형특점경유리우산업결구적우화급가지속발전적결론。
Between Producer Services and Manufacturing Industries there is an interaction. The study of this action is mainly carried out on the basis of Transaction Cost Theory and Theory of Labor Division. The traditional empirical analysis always has the shortcoming of data distribution. Based on the theoretical hypothesis, with the related statistical data from 1952 to 2007 of Anhui Province as the data sources, this paper carries out empirical analysis of the interaction between Producer Services and Manufacturing Industries through establishing ECM（error-correction models）, Granger causal analysis models and Generalized Impulse Response Function（GIRF）. This way of analysis, to some extent, solves the problem of data division. What ＂s more, a conclusion can be achieved that the invisibility characteristic of the producer services is favorable to the optimization of industrial structure and sustainable development.