CAJ | 학술논문

以高血压患者的患病因素为例进行解析,提出代谢综合症相关问题的解决方法.研究年龄、BMI、家族史、吸烟、饮酒、文化程度、职业等18个影响高血压疾病的因素.研究的主要目的是将这些因素对高血压患病影响的重要性程度进行排序,并建立相应患病概率的预测模型.这不仅对人们日常生活疾病的预防、监控有一定的指导意义,也给医疗保险中保单的核保提供了风险度量的判别依据.首先用相关性分析剔除与高血压患病相关性较小的因素,继而用主成分分析方法消除因素间的共线性,最后用Logistic回归拟合患病概率模型并根据系数进行排序和预测.结果显示,无论性别,对高血压疾病影响最大的首先是家族史,其次为年龄.
이고혈압환자적환병인소위례진행해석,제출대사종합증상관문제적해결방법.연구년령、BMI、가족사、흡연、음주、문화정도、직업등18개영향고혈압질병적인소.연구적주요목적시장저사인소대고혈압환병영향적중요성정도진행배서,병건립상응환병개솔적예측모형.저불부대인문일상생활질병적예방、감공유일정적지도의의,야급의료보험중보단적핵보제공료풍험도량적판별의거.수선용상관성분석척제여고혈압환병상관성교소적인소,계이용주성분분석방법소제인소간적공선성,최후용Logistic회귀의합환병개솔모형병근거계수진행배서화예측.결과현시,무론성별,대고혈압질병영향최대적수선시가족사,기차위년령.
This paper analyses the cause of hypertension as an example,and then puts forward solutions to these problems of metabolic syndrome.Many factors lead to hypertension.This paper focuses on totally eighteen of them,namely age,BMI, family heredity,smoking,drinking,education,profession and etc.The primary objective of this paper is to rank these factors by the individual degree of their influence on hypertension and to establish the forecasting model of sick probability accordingly.Not only does it indicates the precaution and surveillance of diseases in human daily life,but also provides the criteria of the risk measurement for medical insurance.In this method,correlation analysis is used to kick off the factors of less importance,thus by the means of main composition analysis,linearity connection among factors is removed,and finally this paper imitates the sick probability model by logistic regression and ranks the factors by the coefficients.The conclusion is that,in both male and female cases,the family heredity is the most significant factor of hypertension,while age is of the second importance.