哈尔滨工业大学学报(英文版)
哈爾濱工業大學學報(英文版)
합이빈공업대학학보(영문판)
JOURNAL OF HARBIN INSTITUTE OF TECHNOLOGY
2003年
3期
315-320
,共6页
grey model%load forecast%electric power consumption
The advancement of grey system theory provides an effective analytic tool for power system load fore-cast. All kinds of presently available grey forecast models can be well used to deal with the short-term load fore-cast. However, they make big errors for medium or long-term load forecasts, and the load that does not satisfythe approximate exponential increasing law in particular. A novel grey forecast model that is capable of distin-guishing the increasing law of load is adopted to forecast electric power consumption (EPC) of Shanghai. Theresults show that this model can be used to greatly improve the forecast precision of EPC for a secondary industryor the whole society.
