CAJ | 학술논문

随着近年来我国众多含硫化氢气田相继投入开发,含硫气井安全规划标准,特别是定量风险分析标准的制订变得十分必要和迫切.为此,分别对含硫气井定量风险分析技术标准的制订原则、适用范围、框架结构进行了分析,提出了适合我国国情的井喷事故概率的数值统计分析方法及参考值,事故后果分析方法及要求,定量风险计算方法及可接受风险水平等关键技术参数及主要技术内容.研究成果可用于指导我国含硫气井定量风险分析标准的制订,将使我国对含硫气田开发实施定量风险评价和管理成为可能.
수착근년래아국음다함류화경기전상계투입개발,함류기정안전규화표준,특별시정량풍험분석표준적제정변득십분필요화박절.위차,분별대함류기정정량풍험분석기술표준적제정원칙、괄용범위、광가결구진행료분석,제출료괄합아국국정적정분사고개솔적수치통계분석방법급삼고치,사고후과분석방법급요구,정량풍험계산방법급가접수풍험수평등관건기술삼수급주요기술내용.연구성과가용우지도아국함류기정정량풍험분석표준적제정,장사아국대함류기전개발실시정량풍험평개화관리성위가능.
With the development of many sour gas fields in succession in China, it is urgent and necessary to establish the regulatory criteria of safety, especially of quantitative risk analysis, for sour gas wells. Therefore, through analysis on the principle, application scope, and the framework of the establishment of the quantitative risk analysis on sour gas wells, a meth-od of numerical statistical analysis with the reference values were presented on the accidental probability of well blowouts under the national condition, as well as the method and requirements of consequence analysis after accidents, and some key technical parameters and main contents of the calculating methods of quantitative risk analysis and the acceptable risk level, etc. This provides guidance for the establishment of the criteria for quantitative risk analysis of sour gas wells, and impels the quantita-tive risk evaluation and management to be possibly performed in sour gas fields of China.