CAJ | 학술논문

根据珠江三角洲地区16个典型站点2006年监测的PM_(10)浓度数据.以珠江三角洲地区人群2006年PM}0暴露浓度作为基准,采用泊松回归模型和寿命表方法,评价PM_(10)浓度对人群健康影响.该区2006年PM_(10)年均浓度达到73μg/m~3,若所有监测城市PM_(10)浓度达到国家二级标准(100μg/m~3),成人(>30岁)可避免死亡人数为2300人,人群平均期望寿命延长0.13a当PM_(10)年均浓度达到WHO推荐过渡指标值(70,50,30μg/m~3)及指导值(20μg/m~3)后,成人可避免死亡人数分别为8700,19700,32600'38500人;人群平均期望寿命分别延长0.47,1, 1,1.92.3a.
근거주강삼각주지구16개전형참점2006년감측적PM_(10)농도수거.이주강삼각주지구인군2006년PM}0폭로농도작위기준,채용박송회귀모형화수명표방법,평개PM_(10)농도대인군건강영향.해구2006년PM_(10)년균농도체도73μg/m~3,약소유감측성시PM_(10)농도체도국가이급표준(100μg/m~3),성인(>30세)가피면사망인수위2300인,인군평균기망수명연장0.13a당PM_(10)년균농도체도WHO추천과도지표치(70,50,30μg/m~3)급지도치(20μg/m~3)후,성인가피면사망인수분별위8700,19700,32600'38500인;인군평균기망수명분별연장0.47,1, 1,1.92.3a.
Concentration of PM_(10) was measured at 16 typical sites in Pearl River Delta in 2006. Both Poisson regression model and life table method were used to calculate the health benefits due to controlling PM_(10) concentration in Pearl River Dell. The annual mean concentration of PM_(10) was found to reach 73μg/m~3. For adults (older than 30), the avoidable deaths would be 2300 person and the life expectancy of residents would prolong 0.13 year, if the annual mean PM_(10) concentration reduced to the national air quality specification Level Ⅱ of PM_(10). If the PM_(10) controlling targets recommended by WHO could be reached, the avoidable deaths would be 8700 person (70μg/m~3), 19700 person (50μg/m~3), 32600 person (30μg/m~3) and 38500 person (20μg/m~3), respectively, and life expectancy of residents would prolong 0.47 year (70μg/m~3), 1.1 years (50μg/m~3), 1.9 years (30μg/m~3) and 2.3 years (20μg/m~3).