系统管理学报
繫統管理學報
계통관이학보
JOURNAL OF SYSTEMS & MANAGEMENT
2009年
3期
261-266
,共6页
降价决策%系统思考%系统动力学
降價決策%繫統思攷%繫統動力學
강개결책%계통사고%계통동역학
lower price decision%system thinking%system dynamics
利用系统思考定性分析了降价决策所涉及的价格、市场份额、交期、产能、利润、质量等因果反馈关系环路,并构建了降价决策的系统动力学模型.通过实例仿真、定量分析,比较了7种情景下,价格、净利润、市场份额、交期、利润率等指标的变化,讨论了降价决策的适用场合以及需要综合考虑的高杠杆策略切入点,为降价决策提供了一定的参考依据.
利用繫統思攷定性分析瞭降價決策所涉及的價格、市場份額、交期、產能、利潤、質量等因果反饋關繫環路,併構建瞭降價決策的繫統動力學模型.通過實例倣真、定量分析,比較瞭7種情景下,價格、淨利潤、市場份額、交期、利潤率等指標的變化,討論瞭降價決策的適用場閤以及需要綜閤攷慮的高槓桿策略切入點,為降價決策提供瞭一定的參攷依據.
이용계통사고정성분석료강개결책소섭급적개격、시장빈액、교기、산능、리윤、질량등인과반궤관계배로,병구건료강개결책적계통동역학모형.통과실례방진、정량분석,비교료7충정경하,개격、정리윤、시장빈액、교기、리윤솔등지표적변화,토론료강개결책적괄용장합이급수요종합고필적고강간책략절입점,위강개결책제공료일정적삼고의거.
To study the feedback mechanism of lower price decision, the causal feedback loops in lower price decision system are analyzed by System Thinking, and the System Dynamics model of lower price decision is developed. Then, the dynamic behavior patterns of market share, price, lead time and net income are quantitatively studied and compared through the practical case simulations on seven scenarios. The results show that lower price decision is a kind of short-term strategy, and such decision variables as net income, lead time and plant capacity are considered in decision.