CAJ | 학술논문

对辽宁省16个站点1980～2005年的玉米物候资料分析表明,玉米播种与出苗微弱提前,但成熟明显推后,导致玉米生育期明显延长;玉米播种期、出苗期、成熟期和全生育期均与温度呈显著负相关,除播种期外,玉米各个物候期与降水则呈显著的正相关;年平均气温的升高导致玉米生育期缩短,年降雨量的减少导致生育期延长.因此,未来气候暖干化将对玉米生长、质量和产量产生重大影响.
대요녕성16개참점1980～2005년적옥미물후자료분석표명,옥미파충여출묘미약제전,단성숙명현추후,도치옥미생육기명현연장;옥미파충기、출묘기、성숙기화전생육기균여온도정현저부상관,제파충기외,옥미각개물후기여강수칙정현저적정상관;년평균기온적승고도치옥미생육기축단,년강우량적감소도치생육기연장.인차,미래기후난간화장대옥미생장、질량화산양산생중대영향.
The phonological data at 16 stations of Iiaoning Province from 1980 to 2005 were analyzed. The results showed that the sowing and seedling emergence of maize appeared slightly earlier. But the mature was significantly postponed, which led to longer growing season. The stages of sowing, seedling emergence, mature and growing season all showed a significant negative correlation with temperature. Except sowing stage, all phenological stages of maize showed a significant positive correlation with precipitation. The increase of annual average temperature caused the shortening of maize growth stage. The decrease of annual precipitation brought about the longer growth stage. Therefore, warming and drought of the future climate would have fatal effects on the growth, quality and yield of maize.