旅游论坛
旅遊論罈
여유론단
Tourism Forum
2011年
6期
34-39
,共6页
20个主要城市%城市经济%入境旅游%市场规模差异
20箇主要城市%城市經濟%入境旅遊%市場規模差異
20개주요성시%성시경제%입경여유%시장규모차이
20 cities%urban economy%inbound tourism%disparity of tourism scale
借用基尼系数、变差系数、首位度等计量指标工具,以入境旅游人数为指标,研究了中国20个旅游城市入境旅游市场规模的空间差异性。研究发现,中国20个城市入境旅游市场规模的相对差异日渐缩小,旅游产业发展日益均衡,但各城市位序变化的特征不同。根据各城市入境旅游市场规模位序变化的特征,将20个城市分为加速发展型、减速发展型、稳定发展型和波动发展型等4种类型。同时,利用SPSS统计软件测算的城市入境旅游市场规模的差异与城市GDP存在较高的相关性,且关联度相当显著。构建统计量对城市入境旅游人数与城市GDP的耦合度进行测算,依据不同城市二者之间耦合程度的不同,将其分为低耦合、中耦合和高耦合3种类型,其中,南京市和杭州市两个城市入境旅游市场规模与城市GDP的发展高度耦合,两者协调发展,相互促进。最后分析了不同耦合度的城市旅游产业与城市经济的发展关系。
藉用基尼繫數、變差繫數、首位度等計量指標工具,以入境旅遊人數為指標,研究瞭中國20箇旅遊城市入境旅遊市場規模的空間差異性。研究髮現,中國20箇城市入境旅遊市場規模的相對差異日漸縮小,旅遊產業髮展日益均衡,但各城市位序變化的特徵不同。根據各城市入境旅遊市場規模位序變化的特徵,將20箇城市分為加速髮展型、減速髮展型、穩定髮展型和波動髮展型等4種類型。同時,利用SPSS統計軟件測算的城市入境旅遊市場規模的差異與城市GDP存在較高的相關性,且關聯度相噹顯著。構建統計量對城市入境旅遊人數與城市GDP的耦閤度進行測算,依據不同城市二者之間耦閤程度的不同,將其分為低耦閤、中耦閤和高耦閤3種類型,其中,南京市和杭州市兩箇城市入境旅遊市場規模與城市GDP的髮展高度耦閤,兩者協調髮展,相互促進。最後分析瞭不同耦閤度的城市旅遊產業與城市經濟的髮展關繫。
차용기니계수、변차계수、수위도등계량지표공구,이입경여유인수위지표,연구료중국20개여유성시입경여유시장규모적공간차이성。연구발현,중국20개성시입경여유시장규모적상대차이일점축소,여유산업발전일익균형,단각성시위서변화적특정불동。근거각성시입경여유시장규모위서변화적특정,장20개성시분위가속발전형、감속발전형、은정발전형화파동발전형등4충류형。동시,이용SPSS통계연건측산적성시입경여유시장규모적차이여성시GDP존재교고적상관성,차관련도상당현저。구건통계량대성시입경여유인수여성시GDP적우합도진행측산,의거불동성시이자지간우합정도적불동,장기분위저우합、중우합화고우합3충류형,기중,남경시화항주시량개성시입경여유시장규모여성시GDP적발전고도우합,량자협조발전,상호촉진。최후분석료불동우합도적성시여유산업여성시경제적발전관계。
To reveal the disparity of tourism scale , this paper selects the number of entry-tourists as the criterion of tourism size. Based on the entry-tourists numbers of 20 cities in China from 2000 , the paper analyzes the difference of tourist scale among the cities with three criterions that included Gini coefficient, coefficient of variation and centralized degree. Then it discovers the dis- parity of tourism scale of 20 cities in China is declined as its fluctuating. According to the transformation of size ,the tourism de- velopment of 20 cities can be measured off as four： balanced-development , fluctuant - development ,accelerated- development and decelerated - development. The paper identifies a relatively high correlation between the number of entry - tourists and the gross domestic product of cities. From analysis of the coupling relationships ,the results indicate that two cities （Inner Hangzhou and Nanjing） on the frontier are high-coupling ,and other cities are mid-coupling and low-coupling . Finally, the paper also discusses urban tourism industry has too much to do with economic development ,in order to offer some reference for the research of region- al economy and regional tourism.
