CAJ | 학술논문

基于苏州市水资源现状,从维持和保护河网生态系统正常的基本功能角度出发.在保证生态环境需水的条件下,构建了水资源与社会、经济、生态环境相联系的苏州市水资源承栽力系统动力学模型.以社会经济指标为表征,分别在不同水资源方案(现状延续型、节水型、开源型3种方案)下,依据"以供定需"原则,模拟了2001～2030年苏州市水资源承栽力的动态变化,得出不同水平年苏州市水资源承栽能力,据此寻求提高苏州市水资源承裁力的途径.结果表明,节水措施对水资源承栽力影响大,是提高水资源承栽力的有力措施.
기우소주시수자원현상,종유지화보호하망생태계통정상적기본공능각도출발.재보증생태배경수수적조건하,구건료수자원여사회、경제、생태배경상련계적소주시수자원승재력계통동역학모형.이사회경제지표위표정,분별재불동수자원방안(현상연속형、절수형、개원형3충방안)하,의거"이공정수"원칙,모의료2001～2030년소주시수자원승재력적동태변화,득출불동수평년소주시수자원승재능력,거차심구제고소주시수자원승재력적도경.결과표명,절수조시대수자원승재력영향대,시제고수자원승재력적유력조시.
Based on the current situation of water resources in Suzhou City and aiming to maintain and protect the normal basic functions of fiver net eco-system, a dynamic model related with water resources, society, economy and ecosystem was established to evaluate water resources carrying capacity in Suzhou City by ensuring eco-environmental water demand. Characterizing with the factor of social economy, the dynamic variations of the water resources carrying capacity in Suzhou was simulated with the rule of "Demand is based on Supplying" for the time period from 2001 to 2030 under the conditions of different water resources schemes (Type Ⅰ:remaining current water utilization; Type Ⅱ: water conservation; Type Ⅲ: water exploitation). The corresponding water resources carrying capacity over years was calculated out by the model, and proper ways to improve the carrying capacity were consequently proposed. The research results in this paper show that the water conservation policy can highly affect water resources carrying capacity and be an efficient approach to improve the capacity.