CAJ | 학술논문

针对高强度人类活动作用下海河流域水循环的"自然-人工"二元特性,开发了流域二元水循环模型(简称"二元模型").二元模型由分布式流域水循环模型(WEP)、水资源合理配置模型(ROWAS)和多目标决策分析模型(DAMOS)3个模型耦合而成.针对各模型的优势与不足,提出了两层耦合的技术路线,以实现统筹考虑水资源、宏观经济与生态环境的流域水资源综合管理分析的功能.WEP、ROWAS和DAMOS分别采用11752个、125个和8个计算单元对海河流域进行划分,在获取各类输入参数后,应用二元模型对海河流域进行了分析计算与模型验证.结果表明,所建立的二元模型对径流过程、入海水量以及地下水流场等均具有合理的模拟精度,模型得到验证,可望用作海河流域水资源规划与管理的情景分析工具.
침대고강도인류활동작용하해하류역수순배적"자연-인공"이원특성,개발료류역이원수순배모형(간칭"이원모형").이원모형유분포식류역수순배모형(WEP)、수자원합리배치모형(ROWAS)화다목표결책분석모형(DAMOS)3개모형우합이성.침대각모형적우세여불족,제출료량층우합적기술로선,이실현통주고필수자원、굉관경제여생태배경적류역수자원종합관리분석적공능.WEP、ROWAS화DAMOS분별채용11752개、125개화8개계산단원대해하류역진행화분,재획취각류수입삼수후,응용이원모형대해하류역진행료분석계산여모형험증.결과표명,소건립적이원모형대경류과정、입해수량이급지하수류장등균구유합리적모의정도,모형득도험증,가망용작해하류역수자원규화여관리적정경분석공구.
A dualistic hydrological cycle model (abbreviated as dualistic model) is developed orienting the natural-artificial dualistic characteristic of hydrological cycle in the Haihe River Basin (HRB) under the strong impacts of human activities, which consists of the distributed watershed hydrological model (WEP), the water resources rational allocation model (ROWA) and the multi-objective decision model (DAMOS). A two-layered coupling technique is adopted to realize the function for integrated water resources management analysis. The HRB is respectively partitioned into 11 752, 125 and 8 application units for the execution of WEP, ROWA, and DAMOS. The dualistic model is calibrated and validated using the observations from the HRB. The result shows that the simulated evapotranspiration, river flow, flow discharge into the sea, and groundwater flow filed compare well to the observations, which demonstrates the potential of using the dualistic model for scenario analysis of water resources planning and management in the HRB.