CAJ | 학술논문

本文以欧阳首承教授"不损伤信息"的落区和落点结构分析方法,对四川省广汉地区的间断、持续性雷暴天气进行了具体地分析和预测.结果表明,该方法不仅可揭示天气的转折性变化,并使用10分钟一次数据的自记非规则信息,也已经能预测仅有半小时的局地雷暴天气.这不仅对民用、军用飞行有实际意义,也显示了充分利用自动气象站信息资源的必要性,并应改进目前自动气象站的记录读取方式.
본문이구양수승교수"불손상신식"적락구화낙점결구분석방법,대사천성엄한지구적간단、지속성뇌폭천기진행료구체지분석화예측.결과표명,해방법불부가게시천기적전절성변화,병사용10분종일차수거적자기비규칙신식,야이경능예측부유반소시적국지뇌폭천기.저불부대민용、군용비행유실제의의,야현시료충분이용자동기상참신식자원적필요성,병응개진목전자동기상참적기록독취방식.
Discontinuous and long-duration thunderstorm weather, which occurred at Guanghan in Sichuan Province, was analyzed and predicted using structural conversion of irregular information in phase-space from self-recording "time sequence" records for predicting rain areas, as described in the "Non Destructive Information" methodproposed by Professor OuYang Shoucheng. The results show that this method can reveal important changes of weather as well as, by using irregular self-recording information recorded every ten minutes, predict local thunderstorms with durations of only half an hour, and even predict intense convections 12 hours in advance. This is significant for civil and military aviation. It shows the necessity of full utilization of information from automatic weather stations and the necessity of improvements in recording modes in current automatic stations.