机械工程学报
機械工程學報
궤계공정학보
CHINESE JOURNAL OF MECHANICAL ENGINEERING
2010年
2期
150-154
,共5页
谭源源%张春华%陈循%汪亚顺
譚源源%張春華%陳循%汪亞順
담원원%장춘화%진순%왕아순
剩余寿命评估%加速寿命试验%Monte Carlo仿真%初始失效%数据融合
剩餘壽命評估%加速壽命試驗%Monte Carlo倣真%初始失效%數據融閤
잉여수명평고%가속수명시험%Monte Carlo방진%초시실효%수거융합
Remaining life evaluation%Accelerated life testing%Monte Carlo simulation%Initial failure%Data fusion
利用加速寿命试验对产品设备进行剩余寿命评估正在成为研究的热点,如何提高其评估的精度是其中一个非常重要的问题.针对目前加速寿命试验统计方法存在的将试验样品看作新品,把加速试验外推后的应力环境等同于实际工作环境,忽视现场数据等问题,从模型和信息量两方面着手提高寿命评估精度.通过考虑产品初始失效和环境差异的影响,建立更为准确的寿命模型.对加速寿命试验的试验数据和现场数据进行融合统计分析,使得评估数据中蕴含更为丰富的多源寿命信息,由此得到置信度更高的寿命评估结果.仿真对比结果表明,由于模型准确度的提高和统计信息量的增加,所提出的方法评估精度更高,效果更好.
利用加速壽命試驗對產品設備進行剩餘壽命評估正在成為研究的熱點,如何提高其評估的精度是其中一箇非常重要的問題.針對目前加速壽命試驗統計方法存在的將試驗樣品看作新品,把加速試驗外推後的應力環境等同于實際工作環境,忽視現場數據等問題,從模型和信息量兩方麵著手提高壽命評估精度.通過攷慮產品初始失效和環境差異的影響,建立更為準確的壽命模型.對加速壽命試驗的試驗數據和現場數據進行融閤統計分析,使得評估數據中蘊含更為豐富的多源壽命信息,由此得到置信度更高的壽命評估結果.倣真對比結果錶明,由于模型準確度的提高和統計信息量的增加,所提齣的方法評估精度更高,效果更好.
이용가속수명시험대산품설비진행잉여수명평고정재성위연구적열점,여하제고기평고적정도시기중일개비상중요적문제.침대목전가속수명시험통계방법존재적장시험양품간작신품,파가속시험외추후적응력배경등동우실제공작배경,홀시현장수거등문제,종모형화신식량량방면착수제고수명평고정도.통과고필산품초시실효화배경차이적영향,건립경위준학적수명모형.대가속수명시험적시험수거화현장수거진행융합통계분석,사득평고수거중온함경위봉부적다원수명신식,유차득도치신도경고적수명평고결과.방진대비결과표명,유우모형준학도적제고화통계신식량적증가,소제출적방법평고정도경고,효과경호.
Remaining life evaluation of products based on accelerated life testing (ALT) is becoming a hot spot of research, and how to improve the precision of evaluation is one of the most important issues. Related tasks on remaining life evaluation based on ALT, however, exist some problems, such as regarding the samples as new products, taking the extrapolated condition from ALT as the real operated condition, and neglecting field data. In view of these problems, a more accurate life model is built by taking the impact of initial failure and environment difference into account. The model is statistically analyzed by fusing ALT testing data and field data, so as to increase much more multisource life information within evaluated data. Simulation shows that, the result of remaining life evaluation based on ALT becomes more precise due to improving life model and increasing information.