大气科学学报
大氣科學學報
대기과학학보
JOURNAL OF NANJING INSTITUTE OF METEOROLOGY
2009年
5期
618-626
,共9页
华北%区域环流型%气候变化
華北%區域環流型%氣候變化
화북%구역배류형%기후변화
North China%regional circulation pattern%climate change
利用Lamb-Jenkinson方法和NCEP/NCAR再分析的1951--2006年月平均海平面气压场资料.对华北区域环流进行分型并分析了对河北气候的影响.结果表明,影响华北的主要环流型有8种(A、SW、NE、W、C、N、ANE、AN),占全部环流型的64.43%.冬季主要盛行A、NE环流型,夏李主要盛行SW、C环流型,冬季最主要的环流型A和夏季最主要的环流型SW出现次数呈反相变化.河北夏季降水量与SW出现次数呈明显的同相变化,而与A型出现次数呈非常好的反相变化,即冬季A环流型出现多,夏季SW环流型出现就少,夏季降水量就少,反之亦然.冬季的主要环流型在20世纪60年代中期发生了明显改变,夏季环流型在60年代和70年代发生了两次明显改变,之后基本维持改变后的环流型.河北气候与区域环流型变化有很好的对应关系.
利用Lamb-Jenkinson方法和NCEP/NCAR再分析的1951--2006年月平均海平麵氣壓場資料.對華北區域環流進行分型併分析瞭對河北氣候的影響.結果錶明,影響華北的主要環流型有8種(A、SW、NE、W、C、N、ANE、AN),佔全部環流型的64.43%.鼕季主要盛行A、NE環流型,夏李主要盛行SW、C環流型,鼕季最主要的環流型A和夏季最主要的環流型SW齣現次數呈反相變化.河北夏季降水量與SW齣現次數呈明顯的同相變化,而與A型齣現次數呈非常好的反相變化,即鼕季A環流型齣現多,夏季SW環流型齣現就少,夏季降水量就少,反之亦然.鼕季的主要環流型在20世紀60年代中期髮生瞭明顯改變,夏季環流型在60年代和70年代髮生瞭兩次明顯改變,之後基本維持改變後的環流型.河北氣候與區域環流型變化有很好的對應關繫.
이용Lamb-Jenkinson방법화NCEP/NCAR재분석적1951--2006년월평균해평면기압장자료.대화북구역배류진행분형병분석료대하북기후적영향.결과표명,영향화북적주요배류형유8충(A、SW、NE、W、C、N、ANE、AN),점전부배류형적64.43%.동계주요성행A、NE배류형,하리주요성행SW、C배류형,동계최주요적배류형A화하계최주요적배류형SW출현차수정반상변화.하북하계강수량여SW출현차수정명현적동상변화,이여A형출현차수정비상호적반상변화,즉동계A배류형출현다,하계SW배류형출현취소,하계강수량취소,반지역연.동계적주요배류형재20세기60년대중기발생료명현개변,하계배류형재60년대화70년대발생료량차명현개변,지후기본유지개변후적배류형.하북기후여구역배류형변화유흔호적대응관계.
Based on the monthly mean NCEP/NCAR reanalysis sea level pressure data during 1951-2006,by using the Lamb-Jenkinson method,the regional atmospheric circulations over North China were divided into 27 patterns,among them eight major paRems(A,SW,NE,W,C,N,ANE,and AN)accounting for 64.43%of total number of circulation patterns in the 56-year.Each month(season)is tendentious to have itself prevail circulation pattern;patterns A and NE are prevail ones for winter and patterns SW and C for summer;and the number of occurrence for the principle pattern A of winter and that for the principle pattern SW of summer have an opposite change tendency.The summer precipitati-on in Hebei intends to have an obvious in-phase change with the occurrence number of pattern SW,and an anti-phase change with the occurrence number of pattern A.That is to say,if there is more pattern A in winter than normal,then there must be less paaern SW for sulniner,therefore leading to less precipi-tafion in summer;and vice versa.The winter principle circulation pattern significantly changed in the 1960s,and the summer principle circulation patterns had happened significantly changed twice in the 1960s and 1970s,respectively.Afterwards,changed patterns maintained.Hebei province climate changes have a good relationship with those in North China regional circulation pattern.