CAJ | 학술논문

分析了策略性信息获取与信息传递问题.决策者就一个不确定二分决策问题委托多名专家获取与报告信息,假定决策者与专家的偏好信息都是私密的.首先得出了在所有专家都获取信息且如实报告的前提下决策者应该委托的最优专家数量,然后给出了所有专家都获取信息且如实报告的必要条件,并从专家根据自己的报告对最终决策具有实质性影响的概率选择各自策略的角度对该条件进行了讨论.
분석료책략성신식획취여신식전체문제.결책자취일개불학정이분결책문제위탁다명전가획취여보고신식,가정결책자여전가적편호신식도시사밀적.수선득출료재소유전가도획취신식차여실보고적전제하결책자응해위탁적최우전가수량,연후급출료소유전가도획취신식차여실보고적필요조건,병종전가근거자기적보고대최종결책구유실질성영향적개솔선택각자책략적각도대해조건진행료토론.
The problem of strategic information acquisition and information transmission was analyzed.A decision maker delegated multiple experts to acquire and report information regarding an uncertain dichotomous decision problem. The preferences of the decision maker and the experts were assumed to be private.The optimal number of experts which the decision maker should delegate was derived providing that all experts acquire information and report truthfully.Then the prerequisite for all experts gathering and reporting informatively was identified.And the conditions were discussed with the point of view that experts choose their strategies based on their probabilities of making a difference in the final decision.