安徽农业科学
安徽農業科學
안휘농업과학
JOURNAL OF ANHUI AGRICULTURAL SCIENCES
2009年
20期
9745-9748
,共4页
气候变化%火灾次数%火险等级%庐山
氣候變化%火災次數%火險等級%廬山
기후변화%화재차수%화험등급%려산
Climate change%Forest fire times%Fire danger rating%Mt. Lushan
根据庐山45年的气候和火灾历史资料,将气候要素按年代划分,首先用一元线性模拟年代间气候因子(气温、风速、降水量、空气相对湿度、日照时数)的变化趋势,在此基础上方差分析,确定出气候变化显著因子为风速和气温;其次,应用相关分析法,得出影响森林火灾的气候因子为气温和空气相对湿度.随气温升高、相对湿度下降森林火灾次数增加,森林火险等级提高.
根據廬山45年的氣候和火災歷史資料,將氣候要素按年代劃分,首先用一元線性模擬年代間氣候因子(氣溫、風速、降水量、空氣相對濕度、日照時數)的變化趨勢,在此基礎上方差分析,確定齣氣候變化顯著因子為風速和氣溫;其次,應用相關分析法,得齣影響森林火災的氣候因子為氣溫和空氣相對濕度.隨氣溫升高、相對濕度下降森林火災次數增加,森林火險等級提高.
근거려산45년적기후화화재역사자료,장기후요소안년대화분,수선용일원선성모의년대간기후인자(기온、풍속、강수량、공기상대습도、일조시수)적변화추세,재차기출상방차분석,학정출기후변화현저인자위풍속화기온;기차,응용상관분석법,득출영향삼림화재적기후인자위기온화공기상대습도.수기온승고、상대습도하강삼림화재차수증가,삼림화험등급제고.
According to 45 years data of Lushan climate and forest fire,climate factors' data were divided by age. First,the change tendency of climate factors including the temperature,wind speed,precipitation,sunshine hours and air relative humidity was simulated by simple linear regression. Based on this,the wind speed and the temperature were determined as the climate change significantfactors by variance analysis. Second,the temperature and the air relative humidity were considered to be the influence forest-fire's climatic factors by the correlation coefficient method. The results showed that forest fire times and fire danger rating increased with the tempenature higher and relactive humidity decreased.