湖南农业大学学报：社会科学版
湖南農業大學學報：社會科學版
호남농업대학학보：사회과학판
Journal of Hunan Agricultural University(Social Science)
2011年
5期
6-10
,共5页
养猪专业户%借贷需求%影响因素%Logit模型
養豬專業戶%藉貸需求%影響因素%Logit模型
양저전업호%차대수구%영향인소%Logit모형
pig famers%loan demand%factor analysis%Logit model
基于湖南省重点养殖区湘潭县、宁乡县和资阳区378户养猪专业户的调查数据，运用Logit二元离散选择模型，分析了影响湖南省养猪专业户借贷需求的主要因素。研究结果表明：户主文化程度、养殖户对政策的认知程度、养殖户投资规模、生猪市场价格预期等4个因素对养殖户借贷有正向影响，养殖户户主年龄、养殖户收入、养殖户的财产和自有资金状况等3个因素对养殖户借贷有负向影响，养殖户的养殖时间对养殖户借贷没有显著影响。
基于湖南省重點養殖區湘潭縣、寧鄉縣和資暘區378戶養豬專業戶的調查數據，運用Logit二元離散選擇模型，分析瞭影響湖南省養豬專業戶藉貸需求的主要因素。研究結果錶明：戶主文化程度、養殖戶對政策的認知程度、養殖戶投資規模、生豬市場價格預期等4箇因素對養殖戶藉貸有正嚮影響，養殖戶戶主年齡、養殖戶收入、養殖戶的財產和自有資金狀況等3箇因素對養殖戶藉貸有負嚮影響，養殖戶的養殖時間對養殖戶藉貸沒有顯著影響。
기우호남성중점양식구상담현、저향현화자양구378호양저전업호적조사수거，운용Logit이원리산선택모형，분석료영향호남성양저전업호차대수구적주요인소。연구결과표명：호주문화정도、양식호대정책적인지정도、양식호투자규모、생저시장개격예기등4개인소대양식호차대유정향영향，양식호호주년령、양식호수입、양식호적재산화자유자금상황등3개인소대양식호차대유부향영향，양식호적양식시간대양식호차대몰유현저영향。
Based on a survey of 378 pig famers in Hunan Province, the paper adopted the Logit model and studied some major factors affecting their selection in loaning. The results indicated that three factors of policy comprehension level of pig famers, investment scale of pig famers, pig prices expected apparently played a positive role in their loaning behavior, the householder age, culturist＇s income, culturist＇s property and capital had an obvious negative influence on it, and these farmers＇ culturing time had no bearing on it. The research conclusions are of great significance in the healthy, steady and sustainable development of the domestic hog industry.
