CAJ | 학술논문

本文根据内蒙古1951-2007年粮食生产统计资料及相关调查,运用动态与静态分析、定量与定性分析相结合的方法,对内蒙古粮食产量、种植结构变化、粮食安全问题及其影响因素进行相关分析.研究结果表明:内蒙古粮食总产量呈明显的波浪式变化,总体上呈现增长趋势,粮食单产也有所增加,且单产的变化趋势与总产量的变化趋势大体一致,但播种面积的变化不大.粮食安全总体上处于绝对安全状态,但在空间上还存在一定的差异.以95%的粮食自给率作为安全标准,依据自然分类法,内蒙古的粮食安全可以划分为5个等级:极不安全区,较不安全区,较安全区,安全区和极安全区.
본문근거내몽고1951-2007년양식생산통계자료급상관조사,운용동태여정태분석、정량여정성분석상결합적방법,대내몽고양식산량、충식결구변화、양식안전문제급기영향인소진행상관분석.연구결과표명:내몽고양식총산량정명현적파랑식변화,총체상정현증장추세,양식단산야유소증가,차단산적변화추세여총산량적변화추세대체일치,단파충면적적변화불대.양식안전총체상처우절대안전상태,단재공간상환존재일정적차이.이95%적양식자급솔작위안전표준,의거자연분류법,내몽고적양식안전가이화분위5개등급:겁불안전구,교불안전구,교안전구,안전구화겁안전구.
According to the statistical data and related investigation of grain production from 1951 to 2007 in Inner Mongolia, this article analyzes grain field, planting structure changes, food security problem and its influencing factors in Inner Mongolia by using the combination of dynamic analysis and static analysis, quantitative analysis and qualitative analysis. The results shows that the total grain yield tends to an obvious wavy change, but generally it tends to an increasing trend, the per unit area grain yield also increases, and the trend of the per unit area grain yield is consistent with the total grain yield, however, the change of planting area isn' t big. Generally, food security is in the absolute safety state, it also has differences in space. This article uses 95% grain self-sufficient rate as safety standard, according to the natural classification and thinks that the food security of Inner Mongolia is divided into 5 grades: the very unsafe area, the relatively unsafe area, the relatively safe area, the safe area and the very safe area.