CAJ | 학술논문

在分析江苏省龙卷风气候特征的基础上,建立了以江苏省为例的龙卷风灾害风险性评价模型,确定水域面积、海拔高度、人均国民生产总值、人口密度、龙卷密度和龙卷灾害综合灾度这6个因子作为评估指标,利用层次分析法确定各因子的权重,计算出江苏省各市龙卷风灾害风险度并进行了风险度区划.结果表明,苏州、无锡、南通为龙卷灾害高度风险区,常州、南京为较高风险区,镇江、泰州、徐州、盐城、扬州、连云港为中度风险区,宿迁和淮安为低度风险区.
재분석강소성룡권풍기후특정적기출상,건립료이강소성위례적룡권풍재해풍험성평개모형,학정수역면적、해발고도、인균국민생산총치、인구밀도、룡권밀도화룡권재해종합재도저6개인자작위평고지표,이용층차분석법학정각인자적권중,계산출강소성각시룡권풍재해풍험도병진행료풍험도구화.결과표명,소주、무석、남통위룡권재해고도풍험구,상주、남경위교고풍험구,진강、태주、서주、염성、양주、련운항위중도풍험구,숙천화회안위저도풍험구.
Based on the analysis of climatic characteristics of tornados in Jiangsu Province,a tornado disaster risk assessment model for Jiangsu Province has been established.Six factors,i.e.waters area,elevation,gross national product per capita,population density,tornado density and tornado disaster were chosen as assessment indexes,and their weighting are level for each city of Jiangsu province was calculated and rated.The result shows that Suzhou,Wuxi and Nantong belong to the highest risk region of tornado disaster;Changzhou and Nanjing belong to the higher risk region;Zhengjiang,Taizhou,Xuzhou,Yancheng,Yangzhou and Liangyungang belong to the medium risk region;and Suqian and Huai'an belong to the low risk region.