贵州农业科学
貴州農業科學
귀주농업과학
GUIZHOU AGRICULTURAL SCIENCES
2009年
11期
190-195
,共6页
周早弘%雷瑶%李淑英%喻荣%熊晓洪%尹泳兰
週早弘%雷瑤%李淑英%喻榮%熊曉洪%尹泳蘭
주조홍%뢰요%리숙영%유영%웅효홍%윤영란
种植业%林业%畜牧业%渔业%动态关系%VAR%江西省
種植業%林業%畜牧業%漁業%動態關繫%VAR%江西省
충식업%임업%축목업%어업%동태관계%VAR%강서성
farming%forestry%animal husbandry%fishery%dynamic relationship%vector autoregressive model (VAR)%Jiangxi Province
利用江西省1992-2007年的种植业、林业、畜牧业、渔业产值指数,建立VAR模型,运用渐进分析法模拟的脉冲响应函数,研究江西省种植业、林业、畜牧业和渔业之间的动态关系.结果表明:种植业、林业产值不仅对来自自身的1个单位标准误差信息的反应最大,同时分别对渔业和畜牧业的冲击反应最大.而对各个行业产值与第一产业总产值之间的简单相关系数的分析也表明,在对第一产业总产值的贡献排名中,种植业排名居首位,其余排名顺序为畜牧业、渔业和林业.
利用江西省1992-2007年的種植業、林業、畜牧業、漁業產值指數,建立VAR模型,運用漸進分析法模擬的脈遲響應函數,研究江西省種植業、林業、畜牧業和漁業之間的動態關繫.結果錶明:種植業、林業產值不僅對來自自身的1箇單位標準誤差信息的反應最大,同時分彆對漁業和畜牧業的遲擊反應最大.而對各箇行業產值與第一產業總產值之間的簡單相關繫數的分析也錶明,在對第一產業總產值的貢獻排名中,種植業排名居首位,其餘排名順序為畜牧業、漁業和林業.
이용강서성1992-2007년적충식업、임업、축목업、어업산치지수,건립VAR모형,운용점진분석법모의적맥충향응함수,연구강서성충식업、임업、축목업화어업지간적동태관계.결과표명:충식업、임업산치불부대래자자신적1개단위표준오차신식적반응최대,동시분별대어업화축목업적충격반응최대.이대각개행업산치여제일산업총산치지간적간단상관계수적분석야표명,재대제일산업총산치적공헌배명중,충식업배명거수위,기여배명순서위축목업、어업화임업.
Vector autoregressive model (VAR) was established by the output value index of farming, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery from 1992 to 2007 to study their dynamic relationship by using impulse response function simulated by asymptotic analysis in Jiangxi Province. The results showed that the output of farming and forestry has maximum response not only to the information of 1 unit standard error from itself, but also has maximum impulse response to fishery and animal husbandry. The analysis of simple correlation coefficient in output value of each production and total output value of primary production also showed that farming ranked first, followed by animal husbandry, fishery, and forestry in terms of contribution for total output value of primary production.
