CAJ | 학술논문

分析了客运量的影响因素、铁路客运在全国客运市场的地位，提出在市场经济条件下高速铁路客运量的预测方法，即先预测整个客运市场的客运量，再根据高速铁路在客运市场的地位和作用确定其客运量。最后给出一个例子对此予以说明。
분석료객운량적영향인소、철로객운재전국객운시장적지위，제출재시장경제조건하고속철로객운량적예측방법，즉선예측정개객운시장적객운량，재근거고속철로재객운시장적지위화작용학정기객운량。최후급출일개례자대차여이설명。
The influ ence factors of passenger traffic volume and the roleof railway passenger trans portation in our country are analyzed. A method of forecasting the high-speed railway passenger traffic volume in the condition of markete conomy is put forward, I.e.,to forecast the total traff ic volume first, then to determine the traffic volume of high-speed railways according to its role in the total passenger transportation market. Specifically, a sample is given to illu strate the proposed forecasting method.