CAJ | 학술논문

应用山东沿岸各海洋站(日照、青岛、乳山口、威海、烟台、龙口、羊角淘)最近几十年各年最高水位数据和极值Ⅰ型(Gumbel)分布理论,对山东沿岸多年一遇最高水位进行了概率计算.给出的各海洋站Gumbel理论曲线与实测值的经验频率之间符合较好(绝对误差在10 cm以下).研究表明,应用极值Ⅰ型(Gumbel)理论对山东沿岸各海洋站多年一遇最高水位的概率推算是可靠的.这些结果对山东省近岸、近海海洋工程开发建设有一定参考意义.
응용산동연안각해양참(일조、청도、유산구、위해、연태、룡구、양각도)최근궤십년각년최고수위수거화겁치Ⅰ형(Gumbel)분포이론,대산동연안다년일우최고수위진행료개솔계산.급출적각해양참Gumbel이론곡선여실측치적경험빈솔지간부합교호(절대오차재10 cm이하).연구표명,응용겁치Ⅰ형(Gumbel)이론대산동연안각해양참다년일우최고수위적개솔추산시가고적.저사결과대산동성근안、근해해양공정개발건설유일정삼고의의.
Based on annual highest water level data in the past decades from the ocean stations along the coast of Shandong peninsula,which are Rizhao,Qingdao,Rushankou,Weihai,Yantai,Longkou and Yangjiaogou,highest water levels of muhiyear return periods along the coast of Shandong are calculated using the Gumbel curve method.It is shown that the theoretical the of Gumbel given in the paper and the empirical frequency from the data samples for every station agree well.It is concluded that the highest water levels of multiyear return periods for every station given in the paper are reliable,which are of significance to coastal and offshore engineering along Shandong peninsula.