中国人口·资源与环境
中國人口·資源與環境
중국인구·자원여배경
CHINA POPULATION RESOURCES AND ENVIRONMENT
2010年
4期
130-136
,共7页
陈玉萍%张嘉强%吴海涛%丁士军
陳玉萍%張嘉彊%吳海濤%丁士軍
진옥평%장가강%오해도%정사군
双槛模型%改良陆稻%技术采用%滇西南
雙檻模型%改良陸稻%技術採用%滇西南
쌍함모형%개량륙도%기술채용%전서남
double-handle%improved upland rice%technology adoption%southwestern Yunnan
引入双槛模型,分两个阶段考察滇西南资源贫瘠地区农户改良陆稻技术采用行为的影响因素.第一,农户决定是否采用改良陆稻技术(采用决定)的影响因素;第二,如果采用,农户决定改良陆稻技术采用程度(采用程度决定)的影响因素.研究发现,影响农户决定是否采用改良陆稻技术的因素和影响农户决定改良陆稻技术采用程度的因素存在很大差异.农户所拥有的资源禀赋状况,例如耕地面积、市场远近、缺粮程度、海拔高度和有无技术推广项目等对农户的采用决定有显著的正向影响;而家庭劳动力比重和水田面积比例则有显著的负向影响.农户家庭规模和台地面积比例对农户技术采用程度决定呈现显著的正向影响,而耕地面积、水田面积比例和海拔高度则对其呈现显著的负向影响.因此,在制定资源贫瘠山区的农业技术推广政策时,应该充分注意区分影响技术推广广度和深度的不同因素,使不同政策措施更能在资源缺乏的情况下具有适应性和针对性.
引入雙檻模型,分兩箇階段攷察滇西南資源貧瘠地區農戶改良陸稻技術採用行為的影響因素.第一,農戶決定是否採用改良陸稻技術(採用決定)的影響因素;第二,如果採用,農戶決定改良陸稻技術採用程度(採用程度決定)的影響因素.研究髮現,影響農戶決定是否採用改良陸稻技術的因素和影響農戶決定改良陸稻技術採用程度的因素存在很大差異.農戶所擁有的資源稟賦狀況,例如耕地麵積、市場遠近、缺糧程度、海拔高度和有無技術推廣項目等對農戶的採用決定有顯著的正嚮影響;而傢庭勞動力比重和水田麵積比例則有顯著的負嚮影響.農戶傢庭規模和檯地麵積比例對農戶技術採用程度決定呈現顯著的正嚮影響,而耕地麵積、水田麵積比例和海拔高度則對其呈現顯著的負嚮影響.因此,在製定資源貧瘠山區的農業技術推廣政策時,應該充分註意區分影響技術推廣廣度和深度的不同因素,使不同政策措施更能在資源缺乏的情況下具有適應性和針對性.
인입쌍함모형,분량개계단고찰전서남자원빈척지구농호개량륙도기술채용행위적영향인소.제일,농호결정시부채용개량륙도기술(채용결정)적영향인소;제이,여과채용,농호결정개량륙도기술채용정도(채용정도결정)적영향인소.연구발현,영향농호결정시부채용개량륙도기술적인소화영향농호결정개량륙도기술채용정도적인소존재흔대차이.농호소옹유적자원품부상황,례여경지면적、시장원근、결량정도、해발고도화유무기술추엄항목등대농호적채용결정유현저적정향영향;이가정노동력비중화수전면적비례칙유현저적부향영향.농호가정규모화태지면적비례대농호기술채용정도결정정현현저적정향영향,이경지면적、수전면적비례화해발고도칙대기정현현저적부향영향.인차,재제정자원빈척산구적농업기술추엄정책시,응해충분주의구분영향기술추엄엄도화심도적불동인소,사불동정책조시경능재자원결핍적정황하구유괄응성화침대성.
By employing a double-hurdle model and using a two-stage approach, this article investigates factors influencing farmers' decision on upland rice technology adoption in resource-poor southern Yunnan from two stages: first, farmers' decision on whether or not to adopt upland rice technologies, and second, the decision on the extent (area) to which upland rice varieties is adopted. It is found that there are great differences between factors that influence decision on whether or not to adopt the technologies and factors that influence decision on the extent of adoption. Farm's resources endowments, including farm size, distance to market, extent of food insecurity, elevation and whether there are available extension programs, have significant positive effects on whether or not to adopt upland rice technologies, while the proportion of family labor forces and the proportion of rice land area have significant negative effects. Household size and the proportion of terrace land area have significant positive effects on decision of the extent (area) to which upland rice varieties is adopted, while cultivated land area, the proportion of rice land area and elevation have significant negative effects on the decision. These suggest that in order to make more adaptable interventions regarding upland rice technologies extension in the resource-poor areas, much great attention should be given in differentiating factors that determine extensity of technology adoption and factors that determine intensity of technology adoption.