CAJ | 학술논문

为了探讨服务业对外开放度对广东产业结构水平的影响，本文基于1990年-2008年时间序列数据建立VAR模型，从服务业的贸易开放与外资开放两个角度分析了广东服务业的对外开放程度，及其与广东产业结构水平之间的动态关系。结果表明，广东产业结构水平的提升主要依赖于自身的发展，相对而言，服务业的外资开放度的促进作用更灵敏且程度更大，且主要通过作用于第三产业来促进广东整体产业结构水平的提升。同时，广东服务业利用外资效率长期低下。增加服务业的外资开放度的同时，提高服务业的外资利用效率为广东产业结构调整战略的重中之选。
위료탐토복무업대외개방도대엄동산업결구수평적영향，본문기우1990년-2008년시간서렬수거건립VAR모형，종복무업적무역개방여외자개방량개각도분석료엄동복무업적대외개방정도，급기여엄동산업결구수평지간적동태관계。결과표명，엄동산업결구수평적제승주요의뢰우자신적발전，상대이언，복무업적외자개방도적촉진작용경령민차정도경대，차주요통과작용우제삼산업래촉진엄동정체산업결구수평적제승。동시，엄동복무업이용외자효솔장기저하。증가복무업적외자개방도적동시，제고복무업적외자이용효솔위엄동산업결구조정전략적중중지선。
From the perspective of positivism, this paper analyzes the impact of the openness in service industry on the level of industrial structure in Guangdong province. Through a VAR model based on 1990-2008 time series data, and using the impulse response function, this paper analyzes empirically the dynamic relationships between the openness in service industry and the level of industrial structure in Guangdong province. Empirical results show that the openness in service industry has improved obviously the level of industrial structure. The openness of the service industry can be divided into the trade openness and the foreign capital openness, the foreign capital openness plays a more important role than the trade openness in improving its own industrial structure level. The foreign capital openness of service industry promotes Guangdong overall level of industrial structure mainly through direct role in the third industry. Relative to the own growth of the level of industrial structure in Guangdong, the effects of the openness in service industry are limited and significant in shortterm. Therefore, Guangdong should enhance the openness in service industry by taking relative measures to facilitate the promotion of the industrial structure level.