CAJ | 학술논문

分析了金融危机对山东省宏观经济走势的影响;研究了金融危机爆发以来用电量和用电结构的变化、电网负荷及负荷特性的变化;研究了电力消费弹性系数与经济周期的关系以及用电单耗的走势;最后分析了山东省受金融危机影响较小,电力需求恢复较快增长的原因。为把握山东省明年至＂十二五＂期间的电力需求走势提供理论和数据参考。
분석료금융위궤대산동성굉관경제주세적영향;연구료금융위궤폭발이래용전량화용전결구적변화、전망부하급부하특성적변화;연구료전력소비탄성계수여경제주기적관계이급용전단모적주세;최후분석료산동성수금융위궤영향교소,전력수구회복교쾌증장적원인。위파악산동성명년지＂십이오＂기간적전력수구주세제공이론화수거삼고。
This paper analyzes the macroeconomic trends in Shandong on the impact of financial crisis.It studies the changes of the electricity consumption and it’s structure,and the changes of the load characteristics since the outbreak of the financial crisis.It studies the relationship between electricity consumption elasticity coefficient and the economic cycle,and calculates unit electricity consumption.Finally,it analyzes the reason of power demand in Shandong Province having a faster growth under the lnfluence of the financial crisis.The paper will provide theoretical and data reference for forecasting power demand in Shandong Province.