菏泽学院学报
菏澤學院學報
하택학원학보
JOURNAL OF HEZE UNIVERSITY
2011年
5期
1-8
,共8页
流通业%产业结构%灰色关联度%GM(1,1)
流通業%產業結構%灰色關聯度%GM(1,1)
류통업%산업결구%회색관련도%GM(1,1)
circulation industry%industrial structure%Grey Relational Grade%GM（1.1）
流通业在国民经济中的作用一直是流通学界研究的主要内容.利用灰色关联度分析方法,对山东省流通业与国民经济三产业的关系进行分析,结果表明流通业的发展对山东省产业结构的调整具有积极作用.通过建立GM（1,1）模型,对＂十二五＂期间山东省流通业的发展状况进行预测并与＂十五＂、＂十一五＂发展状况进行对比,进一步验证了流通业对于山东省三产业的平衡发展发挥着举足轻重的作用.
流通業在國民經濟中的作用一直是流通學界研究的主要內容.利用灰色關聯度分析方法,對山東省流通業與國民經濟三產業的關繫進行分析,結果錶明流通業的髮展對山東省產業結構的調整具有積極作用.通過建立GM（1,1）模型,對＂十二五＂期間山東省流通業的髮展狀況進行預測併與＂十五＂、＂十一五＂髮展狀況進行對比,進一步驗證瞭流通業對于山東省三產業的平衡髮展髮揮著舉足輕重的作用.
류통업재국민경제중적작용일직시류통학계연구적주요내용.이용회색관련도분석방법,대산동성류통업여국민경제삼산업적관계진행분석,결과표명류통업적발전대산동성산업결구적조정구유적겁작용.통과건립GM（1,1）모형,대＂십이오＂기간산동성류통업적발전상황진행예측병여＂십오＂、＂십일오＂발전상황진행대비,진일보험증료류통업대우산동성삼산업적평형발전발휘착거족경중적작용.
The functions of circulation industry in national economy has been the chief content of study for the researchers in the field.By method GRAP,an analysis of relationship among the circulation industry and three industries in national economy in Shandong Province was made and the results show that the development of circulation industry is of positive functions for the adjustment of the industrial structures in Shandong.By GM（1,1） model,the prediction of development of the circulation industry in the period of the Twelfth Five-Year Plan was made.Compared with the development in the period of the Tenth and Eleventh Five-year Plan,it was further tested and verified that the circulation industry is of great importance for the balanced development of three industries in Shandong Province.
