广西财经学院学报
廣西財經學院學報
엄서재경학원학보
JOURNAL OF GUANGXI UNIVERSITY OF FINANCE AND ECONOMICS
2011年
4期
81-84
,共4页
贸易顺差%进出口%外汇%钉住汇率
貿易順差%進齣口%外彙%釘住彙率
무역순차%진출구%외회%정주회솔
trade surplus%export and import%exchange%pegged exchange rate
从国内经济运行的角度来看,我国持续贸易顺差的根源在于以下几点:以低附加值产品为主的贸易结构;廉价劳动力导致加工贸易顺差的持续攀升;高储蓄率和低消费倾向;国际生产能力转移;真实汇率水平偏离了均衡汇率。从长期来看,单纯扩大出口并不利于一国产业结构的升级和经济增长,扩大出1:2必须相应地扩大进口,通过进出口规模来扩大国内与国际经济资源的转换,这样,才能促进国内产业结构的升级和经济增长。
從國內經濟運行的角度來看,我國持續貿易順差的根源在于以下幾點:以低附加值產品為主的貿易結構;廉價勞動力導緻加工貿易順差的持續攀升;高儲蓄率和低消費傾嚮;國際生產能力轉移;真實彙率水平偏離瞭均衡彙率。從長期來看,單純擴大齣口併不利于一國產業結構的升級和經濟增長,擴大齣1:2必鬚相應地擴大進口,通過進齣口規模來擴大國內與國際經濟資源的轉換,這樣,纔能促進國內產業結構的升級和經濟增長。
종국내경제운행적각도래간,아국지속무역순차적근원재우이하궤점:이저부가치산품위주적무역결구;렴개노동력도치가공무역순차적지속반승;고저축솔화저소비경향;국제생산능력전이;진실회솔수평편리료균형회솔。종장기래간,단순확대출구병불리우일국산업결구적승급화경제증장,확대출1:2필수상응지확대진구,통과진출구규모래확대국내여국제경제자원적전환,저양,재능촉진국내산업결구적승급화경제증장。
From the view of the economic operation, China's sustained trade surplus results from the following: irrational trade structure focusing on low additional value products; cheap labor force leading to continuous increase of the processing trade surplus; high saving rate and low consumption tendency; transferring of international productive force; the real exchange rate deviated from the equilibrium exchange rate. In the long run, it doesn't help improve the industry structure and economic growth only to expand the export. Only when the export and import expand simultaneously could the intemaional economic resources be exchanged, the industry structure upgraded and the economic developed.