农业工程学报
農業工程學報
농업공정학보
2010年
3期
374-379
,共6页
钟来元%刘黎明%王兴%刘亚彬
鐘來元%劉黎明%王興%劉亞彬
종래원%류려명%왕흥%류아빈
安全因素%风险%系统分析%区域尺度%湖南省
安全因素%風險%繫統分析%區域呎度%湖南省
안전인소%풍험%계통분석%구역척도%호남성
safety factor%risks%system analysis%regional scale%Hunan Province
区域综合食物安全是国家宏观食物安全的重要组成部分.构建科学的综合食物安全风险预警指标体系是区域综合食物安全风险预警和有效防范的基础.该文回顾了国内外对食物安全内涵的认识发展过程,明确了综合食物安全必须达到数量安全、质量安全、可持续供给安全3个方面的目标,并构建了区域综合食物安全风险指标体系的理论框架;确定了各预警指标的意义及其计算方法.以湖南省为例进行了实证分析,结果表明:从1992-2005年14 a中湖南省综合食物安全态势总体上处于轻警状况,其中,食物数量安全已经达到了一个相对稳定的安全状态,14 a均为无警;食物质量安全出现9 a中警和5 a重警,安全形势严峻;食物可持续安全发展势态良好,出现1 a中警,5 a轻警,其余为无警.由此可见,目前湖南省综合食物安全风险防范的重点是质量安全,同时要加强可持续供给安全风险的防范.
區域綜閤食物安全是國傢宏觀食物安全的重要組成部分.構建科學的綜閤食物安全風險預警指標體繫是區域綜閤食物安全風險預警和有效防範的基礎.該文迴顧瞭國內外對食物安全內涵的認識髮展過程,明確瞭綜閤食物安全必鬚達到數量安全、質量安全、可持續供給安全3箇方麵的目標,併構建瞭區域綜閤食物安全風險指標體繫的理論框架;確定瞭各預警指標的意義及其計算方法.以湖南省為例進行瞭實證分析,結果錶明:從1992-2005年14 a中湖南省綜閤食物安全態勢總體上處于輕警狀況,其中,食物數量安全已經達到瞭一箇相對穩定的安全狀態,14 a均為無警;食物質量安全齣現9 a中警和5 a重警,安全形勢嚴峻;食物可持續安全髮展勢態良好,齣現1 a中警,5 a輕警,其餘為無警.由此可見,目前湖南省綜閤食物安全風險防範的重點是質量安全,同時要加彊可持續供給安全風險的防範.
구역종합식물안전시국가굉관식물안전적중요조성부분.구건과학적종합식물안전풍험예경지표체계시구역종합식물안전풍험예경화유효방범적기출.해문회고료국내외대식물안전내함적인식발전과정,명학료종합식물안전필수체도수량안전、질량안전、가지속공급안전3개방면적목표,병구건료구역종합식물안전풍험지표체계적이론광가;학정료각예경지표적의의급기계산방법.이호남성위례진행료실증분석,결과표명:종1992-2005년14 a중호남성종합식물안전태세총체상처우경경상황,기중,식물수량안전이경체도료일개상대은정적안전상태,14 a균위무경;식물질량안전출현9 a중경화5 a중경,안전형세엄준;식물가지속안전발전세태량호,출현1 a중경,5 a경경,기여위무경.유차가견,목전호남성종합식물안전풍험방범적중점시질량안전,동시요가강가지속공급안전풍험적방범.
Regional integrated food security is an important part of national general food security. For the regional integrated food security, establishment of risk index system for early warning is the premise for risk early warning and effective precaution. In this paper, the conceptions of integrative food security were defined (i.e. food quantity security, food quality security and food sustainable supply security), a framework of index system for early warning was established, and instructions on the calculation of each index were achieved. Meanwhile, a case study was carried out in Hunan Province. The results showed that in the 14 years of 1992-2005, the integrated food security in Hunan Province was at a level of slight alarm, in which the food quantity security was at a stable no-alarm level, the food qualitative security at a relatively serious situation due to its 9 years of medium alarm and 5 years of heavy alarm; and the tendency of food sustainable supply security in a positive process for its 1 year of medium alarm, 5 years of slight alarm and the rest years of no-alarm. Thus the quality security should be regarded as the key issue of risk prevention of integrated food security in Hunan Province, at the same time the sustainable supply security should be strengthened.