CAJ | 학술논문

芒果象甲Sternochetus Pierce昆虫是芒果的重要害虫,明确其可能适牛的区域对该虫的科学监测及防治意义重大.本文利用芒果象甲属中主要3种:印度果核芒果象S.mangiferae Fabricius、果核芒果象S.olivieri Faust、果肉芒果象S.frigidus Fabrieius的已知分布点数据和亚洲地区的14个环境地理变量图层,运用GARP生态位模型结合GIS空间分析模块预测了该虫在中国的潜在地理分布,结果表明芒果象甲具有较强的扩散蔓延趋势,对我国的芒果产业构成较大的潜在威胁.
망과상갑Sternochetus Pierce곤충시망과적중요해충,명학기가능괄우적구역대해충적과학감측급방치의의중대.본문이용망과상갑속중주요3충:인도과핵망과상S.mangiferae Fabricius、과핵망과상S.olivieri Faust、과육망과상S.frigidus Fabrieius적이지분포점수거화아주지구적14개배경지리변량도층,운용GARP생태위모형결합GIS공간분석모괴예측료해충재중국적잠재지리분포,결과표명망과상갑구유교강적확산만연추세,대아국적망과산업구성교대적잠재위협.
Sternochetus Pierce is a major pest on mango. It's very important for monitoring and controlling these pests of define the high suitable probability areas of them. An ecological niche modeling method (the Genetic Algorithm for Rule - set Prediction, GARP) was applied to predict potential geographic distribution of three species of mango weevil in China on this paper, such as S. Mangiferae, S. Olivieri, S. Frigidus base of the data about current distribution area of three species and 14 environmental and geological covariates in Asia. The resulting GARP geographic predictions were exported as ASCII raster grid -files into ArcGIS 9. 0 for further analysis prediction of the potential distribution of S. Mangiferae, S. Olivieri, S. Frigidus in China. The results indicated that the three mango weevils have strong tendency for spreading and dangerous for mango cultivation in China.