广西预防医学
廣西預防醫學
엄서예방의학
2001年
2期
65-69
,共5页
董柏青%张理亭%唐振柱%林玫%廖和壮
董柏青%張理亭%唐振柱%林玫%廖和壯
동백청%장리정%당진주%림매%료화장
霍乱%地理流行病学%趋势面分析
霍亂%地理流行病學%趨勢麵分析
곽란%지리류행병학%추세면분석
目的了解广西霍乱流行的地理分布特征及地理趋势。方法采用趋势面分析方法,建立趋势面数学模型,对广西 1961~ 1999年霍乱累计发病率资料进行分析。结果发病率在经度 108°~ 109°、纬度 22°区域最高 ,在纬度 25°的北部形成另三个高峰 , 在经度 108°~ 109°带宽上其等值线变化频率最大。结论广西霍乱流行呈现四个地理趋势高峰值,以沿海地区发病率最高,其次为北部山区,流行趋势由南至北向内陆扩散,在经度 108°~ 109°区域对地理位置的变化最具敏感性。
目的瞭解廣西霍亂流行的地理分佈特徵及地理趨勢。方法採用趨勢麵分析方法,建立趨勢麵數學模型,對廣西 1961~ 1999年霍亂纍計髮病率資料進行分析。結果髮病率在經度 108°~ 109°、緯度 22°區域最高 ,在緯度 25°的北部形成另三箇高峰 , 在經度 108°~ 109°帶寬上其等值線變化頻率最大。結論廣西霍亂流行呈現四箇地理趨勢高峰值,以沿海地區髮病率最高,其次為北部山區,流行趨勢由南至北嚮內陸擴散,在經度 108°~ 109°區域對地理位置的變化最具敏感性。
목적료해엄서곽란류행적지리분포특정급지리추세。방법채용추세면분석방법,건립추세면수학모형,대엄서 1961~ 1999년곽란루계발병솔자료진행분석。결과발병솔재경도 108°~ 109°、위도 22°구역최고 ,재위도 25°적북부형성령삼개고봉 , 재경도 108°~ 109°대관상기등치선변화빈솔최대。결론엄서곽란류행정현사개지리추세고봉치,이연해지구발병솔최고,기차위북부산구,류행추세유남지북향내륙확산,재경도 108°~ 109°구역대지리위치적변화최구민감성。
Objective To study the geographic distribution of cholera epidemic in Guangxi.Methods The trend-surface analysis method was used.The prevalence data used in this article were cited from those between 1961-1999 in Guangxi.Results The incidence rate in the area lying on 108° ~ 109° longitude and 22° latitude is the highest;other 3 high rates were found in the north of 25° latitude, and the biggest change of the equal incidence rate's line was showed on the 108° ~ 109° longitude area.Conclusion There were 4 high rate areas of cholera epidemic in Guangxi; the coastal area′ s incidence rate was the highest and the second was in the mountainous region in the north of Guangxi. The cholera epidemic expanded into inland from south to north ,and had obvious characteristics of geographic distribution in the area of 108° ~ 109° longitude.