CAJ | 학술논문

在“十二五”发展过程中，基于经济社会发展规划目标测算的污染物排放增量存在诸多不确定性，极有可能突破预期值，因此在满足社会经济发展规划基础上提出的减排目标可达性也存在一定风险。为确保浙江省“十二五”大气污染物减排目标顺利完成，从GDP、能源消费、机动车保有量等方面分析了可能影响浙江省“十二五”大气污染物排放增量的不确定因素，并从提高经济发展质量、实施煤炭总量控制、试行机动车总量控制、推进排污权有偿使用和交易等方面提出针对性控制对策。
재“십이오”발전과정중，기우경제사회발전규화목표측산적오염물배방증량존재제다불학정성，겁유가능돌파예기치，인차재만족사회경제발전규화기출상제출적감배목표가체성야존재일정풍험。위학보절강성“십이오”대기오염물감배목표순리완성，종GDP、능원소비、궤동차보유량등방면분석료가능영향절강성“십이오”대기오염물배방증량적불학정인소，병종제고경제발전질량、실시매탄총량공제、시행궤동차총량공제、추진배오권유상사용화교역등방면제출침대성공제대책。
During the ＂12th Five - year Plan＂, pollutants emission increment may exceed the forecasted value due on the uncertainties of economic and social development plan, and it may influence the availability of emission reduction targets. In order to achieve the atmospheric pollutants emission reduction targets of Zhejiang Province during ＂12th five - year plan＂, the uncertainties which may affect the emission reduction targets were analyzed from the perspective of GDP, energy consumption and the num- ber of motor vehicles. On such a basis, some countermeasures were put forward, includes improving the quality of economic growth, the implementing the control of total coal consumption and motor vehicle quantity, improving the compensation utilization and trading of pollution rights.