CAJ | 학술논문

依据2001～2010年相关数据，采用季节强度指数、季节变化指数、地理集中指数、RCA指数等方法，对近10年来上海入境旅游客源市场时空演变进行统计分析。结果表明：在时间上，上海入境游客数量发展呈现波浪形递增趋势，年内变化幅度较小，高峰（旺季）主要是在4，5，9，10月，形成较明显的“M”形曲线；在空间上，客源地地理集中程度较低，分布较均衡；通过RCA指数的计算得出，上海市入境旅游16个吝源国中有11个处于极强竞争力状态。
의거2001～2010년상관수거，채용계절강도지수、계절변화지수、지리집중지수、RCA지수등방법，대근10년래상해입경여유객원시장시공연변진행통계분석。결과표명：재시간상，상해입경유객수량발전정현파랑형체증추세，년내변화폭도교소，고봉（왕계）주요시재4，5，9，10월，형성교명현적“M”형곡선；재공간상，객원지지리집중정도교저，분포교균형；통과RCA지수적계산득출，상해시입경여유16개인원국중유11개처우겁강경쟁력상태。
This article collects 2001 -2010 relevant data, by using the season intensity index and seasonal change index; geographic concentration index, RCA index and other methods to analyze the spatio - temporal evolution of Shanghai about nearly 10 years＇ inbound tourism market. Results show that the trend of the number of tourist arrivals of Shanghai has been in- creased and the yearly variation amplitude is less, and the peak seasons are mainly in April, May, September and October, which form an apparent ＂M＂ shape curve. While on spatial and temporal, it presents the trend of a low degree of geographic concentration and balanced distribution . In addition, according to the RCA index： 11 in 16 Shanghai inbound tourism source countries are in a highly competitive state.